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Definitive Analysis

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Good Com Asset Co., Ltd. (3475.T)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Real Estate - DiversifiedSector: Real Estate

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$7,679.38 - $15,452.81$14,481.55
Multi-Stage$2,404.91 - $2,631.26$2,516.01
Blended Fair Value$8,498.78
Current Price$1,236.00
Upside587.60%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS31.63%0.00%35.2030.1221.5317.5211.818.914.240.730.700.00
YoY Growth--16.87%39.89%22.88%48.34%32.62%110.00%479.29%4.80%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--3.79%3.84%2.73%3.28%1.93%1.57%1.15%0.17%0.54%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)2,224.42
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)1,181.00
(=) Cash Retained (M)1,043.42
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)444.88278.05166.83
Cash Retained (M)1,043.421,043.421,043.42
(-) Cash Required (M)-444.88-278.05-166.83
(=) Excess Retained (M)598.54765.37876.59
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)28.6328.6328.63
(=) Excess Retained per Share20.9126.7430.62
LTM Dividend per Share41.2541.2541.25
(+) Excess Retained per Share20.9126.7430.62
(=) Adjusted Dividend62.1667.9971.87
WACC / Discount Rate6.35%6.35%6.35%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$7,679.38$14,481.55$15,452.81
Upside / Downside521.31%1,071.65%1,150.23%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)2,224.422,369.012,523.002,686.992,861.653,047.653,139.08
Payout Ratio53.09%60.47%67.86%75.24%82.62%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)1,181.001,432.631,711.992,021.612,364.252,742.892,903.65

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.35%6.35%6.35%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)1,334.391,347.041,359.69
Year 2 PV (M)1,485.251,513.541,542.10
Year 3 PV (M)1,633.601,680.491,728.28
Year 4 PV (M)1,779.471,847.901,918.29
Year 5 PV (M)1,922.892,015.762,112.19
PV of Terminal Value (M)60,691.8863,623.3266,666.95
Equity Value (M)68,847.4772,028.0675,327.50
Shares Outstanding (M)28.6328.6328.63
Fair Value$2,404.91$2,516.01$2,631.26
Upside / Downside94.57%103.56%112.88%

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