Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Auras Technology Co., Ltd. (3324.TWO)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Computer HardwareSector: Technology

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$515.01 - $1,313.67$777.94
Multi-Stage$364.43 - $397.70$380.77
Blended Fair Value$579.35
Current Price$840.00
Upside-31.03%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS35.46%35.07%6.146.025.555.184.651.351.752.990.760.15
YoY Growth--2.08%8.33%7.14%11.42%245.56%-23.01%-41.61%291.60%400.01%-49.67%
Dividend Yield--1.16%0.83%2.52%2.53%2.11%1.06%1.34%4.04%0.83%0.21%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)2,109.92
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)902.63
(=) Cash Retained (M)1,207.29
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)421.98263.74158.24
Cash Retained (M)1,207.291,207.291,207.29
(-) Cash Required (M)-421.98-263.74-158.24
(=) Excess Retained (M)785.31943.551,049.05
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)93.0393.0393.03
(=) Excess Retained per Share8.4410.1411.28
LTM Dividend per Share9.709.709.70
(+) Excess Retained per Share8.4410.1411.28
(=) Adjusted Dividend18.1419.8420.98
WACC / Discount Rate9.22%9.22%9.22%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$515.01$777.94$1,313.67
Upside / Downside-38.69%-7.39%56.39%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)2,109.922,247.072,393.132,548.682,714.342,890.782,977.50
Payout Ratio42.78%52.22%61.67%71.11%80.56%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)902.631,173.511,475.801,812.422,186.572,601.702,754.19

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate9.22%9.22%9.22%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)1,064.391,074.481,084.57
Year 2 PV (M)1,214.101,237.221,260.57
Year 3 PV (M)1,352.381,391.211,430.76
Year 4 PV (M)1,479.851,536.761,595.30
Year 5 PV (M)1,597.071,674.211,754.31
PV of Terminal Value (M)27,195.6428,509.1929,873.03
Equity Value (M)33,903.4435,423.0836,998.53
Shares Outstanding (M)93.0393.0393.03
Fair Value$364.43$380.77$397.70
Upside / Downside-56.62%-54.67%-52.65%

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