Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Sector

Windey Energy Technology Group Co., Ltd. (300772.SZ)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Industrial - MachinerySector: Industrials

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$21.65 - $117.04$42.36
Multi-Stage$12.13 - $13.28$12.70
Blended Fair Value$27.53
Current Price$18.93
Upside45.41%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS45.79%15.09%0.140.090.110.020.060.020.030.060.010.06
YoY Growth--54.06%-17.16%354.02%-57.61%168.14%-24.67%-50.56%288.93%-74.45%67.30%
Dividend Yield--1.13%0.99%0.76%0.13%0.69%0.28%0.55%1.11%0.28%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)449.45
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)65.29
(=) Cash Retained (M)384.16
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)89.8956.1833.71
Cash Retained (M)384.16384.16384.16
(-) Cash Required (M)-89.89-56.18-33.71
(=) Excess Retained (M)294.27327.98350.45
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)763.68763.68763.68
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.390.430.46
LTM Dividend per Share0.090.090.09
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.390.430.46
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.470.510.54
WACC / Discount Rate7.79%7.79%7.79%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$21.65$42.36$117.04
Upside / Downside14.35%123.76%518.30%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)449.45478.67509.78542.92578.21615.79634.26
Payout Ratio14.53%29.62%44.72%59.81%74.91%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)65.29141.79227.96324.72433.11554.21586.69

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate7.79%7.79%7.79%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)130.30131.54132.77
Year 2 PV (M)192.51196.18199.88
Year 3 PV (M)252.02259.25266.62
Year 4 PV (M)308.90320.78333.00
Year 5 PV (M)363.24380.79399.01
PV of Terminal Value (M)8,019.868,407.228,809.41
Equity Value (M)9,266.849,695.7610,140.69
Shares Outstanding (M)763.68763.68763.68
Fair Value$12.13$12.70$13.28
Upside / Downside-35.90%-32.93%-29.85%

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