Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Shenzhen Emperor Technology Co., Ltd. (300546.SZ)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Business Equipment & SuppliesSector: Industrials

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$1.35 - $1.91$1.62
Multi-Stage$2.02 - $2.22$2.12
Blended Fair Value$1.87
Current Price$26.23
Upside-92.87%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS0.00%0.00%0.000.020.000.000.090.110.110.150.000.00
YoY Growth---100.00%0.00%-100.00%-98.31%-18.44%-0.08%-24.00%0.00%0.00%-100.00%
Dividend Yield--0.00%0.20%0.00%0.00%0.95%0.59%0.45%0.87%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)36.79
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)8.40
(=) Cash Retained (M)28.39
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)7.364.602.76
Cash Retained (M)28.3928.3928.39
(-) Cash Required (M)-7.36-4.60-2.76
(=) Excess Retained (M)21.0323.7925.63
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)178.56178.56178.56
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.120.130.14
LTM Dividend per Share0.050.050.05
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.120.130.14
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.160.180.19
WACC / Discount Rate9.99%9.99%9.99%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Fair Value$1.35$1.62$1.91
Upside / Downside-94.86%-93.81%-92.72%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)36.7936.4236.0635.7035.3434.9936.04
Payout Ratio22.83%36.26%49.70%63.13%76.57%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)8.4013.2117.9222.5427.0631.4933.33

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate9.99%9.99%9.99%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Year 1 PV (M)11.8912.0112.13
Year 2 PV (M)14.5214.8115.11
Year 3 PV (M)16.4316.9417.46
Year 4 PV (M)17.7518.4919.25
Year 5 PV (M)18.5919.5620.57
PV of Terminal Value (M)281.70296.37311.65
Equity Value (M)360.89378.19396.17
Shares Outstanding (M)178.56178.56178.56
Fair Value$2.02$2.12$2.22
Upside / Downside-92.29%-91.93%-91.54%

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