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Definitive Analysis

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2S Metal Public Company Limited (2S.BK)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: SteelSector: Basic Materials

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$7.10 - $28.36$19.13
Multi-Stage$4.35 - $4.76$4.55
Blended Fair Value$11.84
Current Price$2.20
Upside438.26%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS10.65%11.25%0.190.300.250.480.060.110.130.100.100.05
YoY Growth---36.67%22.23%-48.57%733.32%-50.00%-11.89%32.41%0.00%80.00%-16.67%
Dividend Yield--8.80%9.74%7.82%9.09%1.18%8.36%6.81%3.00%2.18%3.71%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)79.04
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)60.50
(=) Cash Retained (M)18.54
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)15.819.885.93
Cash Retained (M)18.5418.5418.54
(-) Cash Required (M)-15.81-9.88-5.93
(=) Excess Retained (M)2.738.6612.61
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)550.00550.00550.00
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.000.020.02
LTM Dividend per Share0.110.110.11
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.000.020.02
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.110.130.13
WACC / Discount Rate6.35%6.35%6.35%
Growth Rate4.65%5.65%6.65%
Fair Value$7.10$19.13$28.36
Upside / Downside222.76%769.57%1,188.87%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)79.0483.5188.2393.2298.49104.06107.18
Payout Ratio76.54%79.24%81.93%84.62%87.31%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)60.5066.1772.2878.8885.9993.6599.14

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.35%6.35%6.35%
Growth Rate4.65%5.65%6.65%
Year 1 PV (M)61.6362.2262.81
Year 2 PV (M)62.7163.9165.13
Year 3 PV (M)63.7365.5867.46
Year 4 PV (M)64.7167.2269.80
Year 5 PV (M)65.6568.8472.16
PV of Terminal Value (M)2,075.252,176.312,281.27
Equity Value (M)2,393.682,504.082,618.63
Shares Outstanding (M)550.00550.00550.00
Fair Value$4.35$4.55$4.76
Upside / Downside97.83%106.95%116.42%

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