Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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SK Chemicals Co.,Ltd (285130.KS)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Chemicals - SpecialtySector: Basic Materials

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$80,512.53 - $171,427.52$114,467.91
Multi-Stage$110,253.61 - $121,033.49$115,541.23
Blended Fair Value$115,004.57
Current Price$57,900.00
Upside98.63%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR20242023202220212020201920182017
DPS27.27%0.00%916.301,552.323,492.621,358.37312.03274.430.000.000.000.00
YoY Growth---40.97%-55.55%157.12%335.33%13.70%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--2.33%2.47%4.69%1.00%0.19%0.49%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)85,108.49
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)26,990.86
(=) Cash Retained (M)58,117.63
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)17,021.7010,638.566,383.14
Cash Retained (M)58,117.6358,117.6358,117.63
(-) Cash Required (M)-17,021.70-10,638.56-6,383.14
(=) Excess Retained (M)41,095.9347,479.0751,734.49
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)19.2519.2519.25
(=) Excess Retained per Share2,134.882,466.482,687.54
LTM Dividend per Share1,402.141,402.141,402.14
(+) Excess Retained per Share2,134.882,466.482,687.54
(=) Adjusted Dividend3,537.023,868.624,089.68
WACC / Discount Rate6.49%6.49%6.49%
Growth Rate2.00%3.00%4.00%
Fair Value$80,512.53$114,467.91$171,427.52
Upside / Downside39.05%97.70%196.08%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)85,108.4987,665.7190,299.7793,012.9895,807.7198,686.41101,647.00
Payout Ratio31.71%43.37%55.03%66.69%78.34%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)26,990.8638,021.3049,690.2462,026.0775,058.3488,817.7694,023.47

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.49%6.49%6.49%
Growth Rate2.00%3.00%4.00%
Year 1 PV (M)35,358.8635,705.5036,052.13
Year 2 PV (M)42,974.7643,821.4944,676.49
Year 3 PV (M)49,887.0551,368.6852,879.35
Year 4 PV (M)56,141.4658,375.5760,675.70
Year 5 PV (M)61,781.1164,869.4268,080.02
PV of Terminal Value (M)1,876,211.231,969,999.122,067,500.68
Equity Value (M)2,122,354.462,224,139.782,329,864.37
Shares Outstanding (M)19.2519.2519.25
Fair Value$110,253.61$115,541.23$121,033.49
Upside / Downside90.42%99.55%109.04%

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