Definitive Analysis
Definitive Analysis

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FDC International Hotels Corporation (2748.TW)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Travel LodgingSector: Consumer Cyclical

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$37.03 - $72.31$51.01
Multi-Stage$61.54 - $67.48$64.45
Blended Fair Value$57.73
Current Price$45.75
Upside26.19%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS3.23%0.00%2.011.250.430.720.621.711.711.561.430.86
YoY Growth--61.02%190.42%-40.06%15.00%-63.64%0.00%10.00%9.38%66.67%0.00%
Dividend Yield--3.65%1.72%0.47%1.77%1.46%5.44%3.18%3.16%2.98%1.47%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)243.01
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)211.56
(=) Cash Retained (M)31.45
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)48.6030.3818.23
Cash Retained (M)31.4531.4531.45
(-) Cash Required (M)-48.60-30.38-18.23
(=) Excess Retained (M)-17.151.0813.23
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)105.27105.27105.27
(=) Excess Retained per Share-0.160.010.13
LTM Dividend per Share2.012.012.01
(+) Excess Retained per Share-0.160.010.13
(=) Adjusted Dividend1.852.022.14
WACC / Discount Rate6.27%6.27%6.27%
Growth Rate1.23%2.23%3.23%
Fair Value$37.03$51.01$72.31
Upside / Downside-19.05%11.49%58.07%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)243.01248.42253.95259.60265.38271.29279.42
Payout Ratio87.06%87.65%88.23%88.82%89.41%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)211.56217.73224.07230.58237.28244.16258.47

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.27%6.27%6.27%
Growth Rate1.23%2.23%3.23%
Year 1 PV (M)202.87204.87206.88
Year 2 PV (M)194.53198.39202.29
Year 3 PV (M)186.53192.11197.80
Year 4 PV (M)178.84186.02193.40
Year 5 PV (M)171.47180.11189.09
PV of Terminal Value (M)5,544.085,823.396,113.84
Equity Value (M)6,478.326,784.897,103.31
Shares Outstanding (M)105.27105.27105.27
Fair Value$61.54$64.45$67.48
Upside / Downside34.52%40.88%47.50%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

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