Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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EDION Corporation (2730.T)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Specialty RetailSector: Consumer Cyclical

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$2,398.45 - $4,890.75$3,357.09
Multi-Stage$2,921.31 - $3,203.69$3,059.84
Blended Fair Value$3,208.46
Current Price$2,109.00
Upside52.13%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2025202420232022202120202019201820172016
DPS4.43%6.36%41.3436.4638.0043.0032.7533.2827.1122.5520.8818.69
YoY Growth--13.38%-4.05%-11.61%31.30%-1.61%22.76%20.20%7.99%11.75%-16.28%
Dividend Yield--1.96%2.23%2.61%3.38%3.02%3.05%2.66%2.02%2.05%2.22%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)15,041.00
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)4,609.00
(=) Cash Retained (M)10,432.00
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)3,008.201,880.131,128.08
Cash Retained (M)10,432.0010,432.0010,432.00
(-) Cash Required (M)-3,008.20-1,880.13-1,128.08
(=) Excess Retained (M)7,423.808,551.889,303.93
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)108.41108.41108.41
(=) Excess Retained per Share68.4878.8985.82
LTM Dividend per Share42.5242.5242.52
(+) Excess Retained per Share68.4878.8985.82
(=) Adjusted Dividend111.00121.40128.34
WACC / Discount Rate7.17%7.17%7.17%
Growth Rate2.43%3.43%4.43%
Fair Value$2,398.45$3,357.09$4,890.75
Upside / Downside13.72%59.18%131.90%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)15,041.0015,557.4816,091.6916,644.2517,215.7717,806.9318,341.14
Payout Ratio30.64%42.51%54.39%66.26%78.13%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)4,609.006,614.168,751.5911,028.0013,450.4416,026.2416,965.55

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate7.17%7.17%7.17%
Growth Rate2.43%3.43%4.43%
Year 1 PV (M)6,111.746,171.406,231.07
Year 2 PV (M)7,472.527,619.137,767.17
Year 3 PV (M)8,700.978,958.299,220.64
Year 4 PV (M)9,806.1310,194.7010,594.70
Year 5 PV (M)10,796.5011,333.8911,892.46
PV of Terminal Value (M)273,803.25287,431.65301,597.40
Equity Value (M)316,691.11331,709.06347,303.44
Shares Outstanding (M)108.41108.41108.41
Fair Value$2,921.31$3,059.84$3,203.69
Upside / Downside38.52%45.09%51.91%

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