Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Hanwha Systems Co., Ltd. (272210.KS)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Aerospace & DefenseSector: Industrials

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$72,879.93 - $197,821.94$112,224.70
Multi-Stage$48,798.42 - $53,360.74$51,038.02
Blended Fair Value$81,631.36
Current Price$59,500.00
Upside37.20%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS27.04%18.41%267.02238.41152.58129.17174.2780.680.00495.7125.7555.08
YoY Growth--12.00%56.25%18.13%-25.88%116.00%0.00%-100.00%1,825.13%-53.25%11.73%
Dividend Yield--0.83%1.30%1.10%0.79%0.87%1.26%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)598,348.39
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)65,447.64
(=) Cash Retained (M)532,900.75
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)119,669.6874,793.5544,876.13
Cash Retained (M)532,900.75532,900.75532,900.75
(-) Cash Required (M)-119,669.68-74,793.55-44,876.13
(=) Excess Retained (M)413,231.07458,107.20488,024.62
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)196.08196.08196.08
(=) Excess Retained per Share2,107.452,336.322,488.89
LTM Dividend per Share333.78333.78333.78
(+) Excess Retained per Share2,107.452,336.322,488.89
(=) Adjusted Dividend2,441.232,670.092,822.67
WACC / Discount Rate9.03%9.03%9.03%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$72,879.93$112,224.70$197,821.94
Upside / Downside22.49%88.61%232.47%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)598,348.39637,241.03678,661.70722,774.71769,755.06819,789.14844,382.82
Payout Ratio10.94%26.75%42.56%58.38%74.19%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)65,447.64170,464.78288,857.62421,921.32571,062.88737,810.23781,054.11

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate9.03%9.03%9.03%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)154,873.10156,341.09157,809.08
Year 2 PV (M)238,433.08242,974.57247,558.89
Year 3 PV (M)316,413.86325,496.97334,752.26
Year 4 PV (M)389,089.32404,052.59419,443.36
Year 5 PV (M)456,721.43478,781.24501,685.34
PV of Terminal Value (M)8,012,912.778,399,939.468,801,778.56
Equity Value (M)9,568,443.5710,007,585.9210,463,027.50
Shares Outstanding (M)196.08196.08196.08
Fair Value$48,798.42$51,038.02$53,360.74
Upside / Downside-17.99%-14.22%-10.32%

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