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Definitive Analysis

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Miwon Specialty Chemical Co., Ltd. (268280.KS)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: ChemicalsSector: Basic Materials

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$184,970.70 - $347,661.52$251,100.40
Multi-Stage$301,968.40 - $331,934.00$316,663.37
Blended Fair Value$283,881.88
Current Price$137,300.00
Upside106.76%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR202420232022202120202019201820172016
DPS2.99%0.00%2,121.942,157.772,373.841,972.531,825.781,831.54532.940.00350.060.00
YoY Growth---1.66%-9.10%20.35%8.04%-0.31%243.67%0.00%-100.00%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--1.42%1.52%1.72%0.99%1.08%2.49%0.79%0.00%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)59,707.78
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)13,605.65
(=) Cash Retained (M)46,102.12
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)11,941.567,463.474,478.08
Cash Retained (M)46,102.1246,102.1246,102.12
(-) Cash Required (M)-11,941.56-7,463.47-4,478.08
(=) Excess Retained (M)34,160.5738,638.6541,624.04
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)4.864.864.86
(=) Excess Retained per Share7,030.377,951.988,566.38
LTM Dividend per Share2,800.092,800.092,800.09
(+) Excess Retained per Share7,030.377,951.988,566.38
(=) Adjusted Dividend9,830.4610,752.0711,366.47
WACC / Discount Rate6.35%6.35%6.35%
Growth Rate0.99%1.99%2.99%
Fair Value$184,970.70$251,100.40$347,661.52
Upside / Downside34.72%82.88%153.21%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)59,707.7860,894.2962,104.3963,338.5464,597.2165,880.8967,857.31
Payout Ratio22.79%36.23%49.67%63.11%76.56%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)13,605.6522,061.7930,848.6439,976.0149,453.9559,292.8062,768.02

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.35%6.35%6.35%
Growth Rate0.99%1.99%2.99%
Year 1 PV (M)20,540.2920,743.6820,947.08
Year 2 PV (M)26,740.3727,272.5727,810.02
Year 3 PV (M)32,262.3933,230.3234,217.42
Year 4 PV (M)37,158.9738,652.8140,191.24
Year 5 PV (M)41,479.2043,573.9645,752.51
PV of Terminal Value (M)1,309,083.251,375,193.951,443,949.03
Equity Value (M)1,467,264.471,538,667.301,612,867.29
Shares Outstanding (M)4.864.864.86
Fair Value$301,968.40$316,663.37$331,934.00
Upside / Downside119.93%130.64%141.76%

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