Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

Financial Statements

Company Industry Sector

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Margins Returns Growth Rates Metrics/Ratios

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Company Industry Sector

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Industry

Sector

Arabian Company for Agricultural and Industrial Investment (2287.SR)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Packaged FoodsSector: Consumer Defensive

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$11.64 - $18.68$14.83
Multi-Stage$32.06 - $35.34$33.67
Blended Fair Value$24.25
Current Price$40.10
Upside-39.53%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR20242023202220212020
DPS0.00%0.00%0.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.00
YoY Growth--0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)33.65
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)15.00
(=) Cash Retained (M)18.65
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)6.734.212.52
Cash Retained (M)18.6518.6518.65
(-) Cash Required (M)-6.73-4.21-2.52
(=) Excess Retained (M)11.9214.4416.13
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)30.0030.0030.00
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.400.480.54
LTM Dividend per Share0.500.500.50
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.400.480.54
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.900.981.04
WACC / Discount Rate5.55%5.55%5.55%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Fair Value$11.64$14.83$18.68
Upside / Downside-70.97%-63.02%-53.40%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)33.6533.3132.9832.6532.3232.0032.96
Payout Ratio44.58%53.66%62.75%71.83%80.92%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)15.0017.8820.6923.4526.1528.8030.49

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate5.55%5.55%5.55%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Year 1 PV (M)16.7616.9417.11
Year 2 PV (M)18.2018.5718.95
Year 3 PV (M)19.3419.9420.55
Year 4 PV (M)20.2321.0721.93
Year 5 PV (M)20.8921.9823.11
PV of Terminal Value (M)866.39911.51958.48
Equity Value (M)961.831,010.011,060.14
Shares Outstanding (M)30.0030.0030.00
Fair Value$32.06$33.67$35.34
Upside / Downside-20.05%-16.04%-11.88%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

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