Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Grand Korea Leisure Co., Ltd. (114090.KS)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Gambling, Resorts & CasinosSector: Consumer Cyclical

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$2,693.20 - $3,562.63$3,145.99
Multi-Stage$8,053.70 - $8,941.26$8,487.88
Blended Fair Value$5,816.93
Current Price$15,130.00
Upside-61.55%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS-10.27%-9.96%413.020.000.000.00529.02710.03730.031,000.04831.041,002.04
YoY Growth--0.00%0.00%0.00%-100.00%-25.49%-2.74%-27.00%20.34%-17.07%-15.01%
Dividend Yield--3.86%0.00%0.00%0.00%3.18%5.26%3.23%3.89%3.79%4.39%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)44,596.66
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)17,443.28
(=) Cash Retained (M)27,153.37
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)8,919.335,574.583,344.75
Cash Retained (M)27,153.3727,153.3727,153.37
(-) Cash Required (M)-8,919.33-5,574.58-3,344.75
(=) Excess Retained (M)18,234.0421,578.7923,808.62
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)61.8561.8561.85
(=) Excess Retained per Share294.80348.87384.92
LTM Dividend per Share282.01282.01282.01
(+) Excess Retained per Share294.80348.87384.92
(=) Adjusted Dividend576.81630.88666.93
WACC / Discount Rate6.90%6.90%6.90%
Growth Rate-11.96%-10.96%-9.96%
Fair Value$2,693.20$3,145.99$3,562.63
Upside / Downside-82.20%-79.21%-76.45%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)44,596.6639,709.6135,358.1031,483.4528,033.3924,961.4025,710.24
Payout Ratio39.11%49.29%59.47%69.65%79.82%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)17,443.2819,573.1621,026.7821,926.7722,377.0122,465.2623,781.98

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.90%6.90%6.90%
Growth Rate-11.96%-10.96%-9.96%
Year 1 PV (M)18,104.5418,310.1718,515.81
Year 2 PV (M)17,989.7618,400.7518,816.38
Year 3 PV (M)17,352.1617,950.1818,561.77
Year 4 PV (M)16,379.7617,136.7117,919.61
Year 5 PV (M)15,210.4916,094.1617,018.44
PV of Terminal Value (M)413,108.81437,108.83462,211.56
Equity Value (M)498,145.52525,000.81553,043.56
Shares Outstanding (M)61.8561.8561.85
Fair Value$8,053.70$8,487.88$8,941.26
Upside / Downside-46.77%-43.90%-40.90%

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