Definitive Analysis
| Stable Growth | $76,908.07 - $154,566.47 | $144,851.42 |
| Multi-Stage | $24,185.08 - $26,454.63 | $25,299.07 |
| Blended Fair Value | $85,075.24 | |
| Current Price | $4,195.00 | |
| Upside | 1,928.02% | |
| Decision | Buy | |
| Metric | 5Y CAGR | 10Y CAGR | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 | 2020 | 2019 | 2018 | 2017 | 2016 | 2015 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DPS | 9.22% | 9.44% | 399.37 | 403.64 | 202.04 | 478.50 | 379.62 | 257.00 | 229.57 | 293.92 | 330.41 | 264.38 |
| YoY Growth | - | - | -1.06% | 99.78% | -57.78% | 26.05% | 47.71% | 11.95% | -21.89% | -11.04% | 24.97% | 63.21% |
| Dividend Yield | - | - | 10.99% | 8.33% | 4.60% | 10.04% | 6.63% | 8.73% | 4.33% | 4.42% | 5.57% | 4.14% |
| Net Income To Common (M) | 38,158.39 |
| (-) Cash Dividends Paid (M) | 23,308.35 |
| (=) Cash Retained (M) | 14,850.04 |
| Metric | LOW | BASE | HIGH |
|---|---|---|---|
| Required Retention Ratio | 20.0% | 12.5% | 7.5% |
| (=) Cash Required (M) | 7,631.68 | 4,769.80 | 2,861.88 |
| Cash Retained (M) | 14,850.04 | 14,850.04 | 14,850.04 |
| (-) Cash Required (M) | -7,631.68 | -4,769.80 | -2,861.88 |
| (=) Excess Retained (M) | 7,218.36 | 10,080.24 | 11,988.16 |
| (/) Shares Outstanding (M) | 49.10 | 49.10 | 49.10 |
| (=) Excess Retained per Share | 147.02 | 205.31 | 244.17 |
| LTM Dividend per Share | 474.74 | 474.74 | 474.74 |
| (+) Excess Retained per Share | 147.02 | 205.31 | 244.17 |
| (=) Adjusted Dividend | 621.76 | 680.05 | 718.91 |
| WACC / Discount Rate | 6.35% | 6.35% | 6.35% |
| Growth Rate | 5.50% | 6.50% | 7.50% |
| Fair Value | $76,908.07 | $144,851.42 | $154,566.47 |
| Upside / Downside | 1,733.33% | 3,352.95% | 3,584.54% |
| Metric | TTM | Dec-27 | Dec-28 | Dec-29 | Dec-30 | Dec-31 | Terminal |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Net Income (M) | 38,158.39 | 40,638.69 | 43,280.20 | 46,093.41 | 49,089.49 | 52,280.30 | 53,848.71 |
| Payout Ratio | 61.08% | 66.87% | 72.65% | 78.43% | 84.22% | 90.00% | 92.50% |
| Projected Dividends (M) | 23,308.35 | 27,173.68 | 31,443.02 | 36,152.57 | 41,341.51 | 47,052.27 | 49,810.06 |
| Metric | LOW | BASE | HIGH |
|---|---|---|---|
| WACC / Discount Rate | 6.35% | 6.35% | 6.35% |
| Growth Rate | 5.50% | 6.50% | 7.50% |
| Year 1 PV (M) | 25,310.57 | 25,550.48 | 25,790.39 |
| Year 2 PV (M) | 27,279.17 | 27,798.76 | 28,323.25 |
| Year 3 PV (M) | 29,214.57 | 30,053.22 | 30,907.76 |
| Year 4 PV (M) | 31,117.18 | 32,313.85 | 33,544.72 |
| Year 5 PV (M) | 32,987.38 | 34,580.69 | 36,234.97 |
| PV of Terminal Value (M) | 1,041,506.08 | 1,091,811.21 | 1,144,041.64 |
| Equity Value (M) | 1,187,414.94 | 1,242,108.21 | 1,298,842.73 |
| Shares Outstanding (M) | 49.10 | 49.10 | 49.10 |
| Fair Value | $24,185.08 | $25,299.07 | $26,454.63 |
| Upside / Downside | 476.52% | 503.08% | 530.62% |
| Ticker ⇵ | Company ⇵ | Dividend Yield % ▼ | Dividend Per Share ⇵ | Payout Ratio % ⇵ |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| KKR | KKR & Co. Inc. | 0.55% | $0.71 | 28.86% |
| UHS | Universal Health Services, Inc. | 0.55% | $1.21 | 5.70% |
| 0I0T.L | Coca-Cola Consolidated, Inc. | 0.54% | $0.81 | 11.41% |
| HSTM | HealthStream, Inc. | 0.54% | $0.12 | 17.69% |
| LLY | Eli Lilly and Company | 0.54% | $5.79 | 28.28% |
| TECH | Bio-Techne Corporation | 0.54% | $0.32 | 64.31% |
| TRU | TransUnion | 0.54% | $0.45 | 21.24% |
| VST | Vistra Corp. | 0.54% | $0.89 | 26.39% |
| 0R2Z.L | Mastercard Incorporated | 0.52% | $2.96 | 18.79% |
| DHR | Danaher Corporation | 0.52% | $1.19 | 24.18% |
| MKSI | MKS Inc. | 0.52% | $0.87 | 21.15% |
| 0JT5.L | Lam Research Corporation | 0.51% | $0.93 | 20.32% |
| 0JZ0.L | Martin Marietta Materials, Inc. | 0.51% | $3.22 | 16.93% |
| EVTC | EVERTEC, Inc. | 0.51% | $0.15 | 6.55% |
| GPI | Group 1 Automotive, Inc. | 0.51% | $2.01 | 6.83% |
| MUSA | Murphy USA Inc. | 0.51% | $2.05 | 8.36% |
| PCG | Pacific Gas & Electric Co. | 0.51% | $0.08 | 6.94% |
| CHE | Chemed Corporation | 0.50% | $2.11 | 11.01% |
| FBIO | Fortress Biotech, Inc. | 0.50% | $0.02 | 16.65% |
| HWKN | Hawkins, Inc. | 0.50% | $0.73 | 18.33% |
| NMRK | Newmark Group, Inc. | 0.50% | $0.08 | 20.64% |
| PRLH | Pearl Holdings Acquisition Corp | 0.50% | $0.06 | 54.69% |
| EXP | Eagle Materials Inc. | 0.48% | $1.02 | 7.46% |
| FCAX | Fortress Capital Acquisition Corp. | 0.48% | $0.05 | 6.11% |
| FSS | Federal Signal Corporation | 0.48% | $0.54 | 13.95% |
| AAON | AAON, Inc. | 0.47% | $0.37 | 30.87% |
| CR | Crane Company | 0.47% | $0.88 | 14.07% |
| HGTY | Hagerty, Inc. | 0.47% | $0.06 | 12.93% |
| IDCC | InterDigital, Inc. | 0.47% | $1.55 | 10.87% |
| PCG-PI | Pacific Gas and Electric Company PFD 1ST 4.36% | 0.47% | $0.08 | 6.94% |
| SEB | Seaboard Corporation | 0.47% | $20.86 | 5.03% |
| AMEH | Apollo Medical Holdings, Inc. | 0.46% | $0.18 | 93.62% |
| IDT | IDT Corporation | 0.46% | $0.23 | 7.15% |
| KAI | Kadant Inc. | 0.46% | $1.32 | 15.23% |
| PRGS | Progress Software Corporation | 0.46% | $0.19 | 17.10% |
| UI | Ubiquiti Inc. | 0.46% | $2.60 | 19.86% |
| WWE | World Wrestling Entertainment, Inc. | 0.46% | $0.46 | 21.62% |
| APH | Amphenol Corporation | 0.45% | $0.62 | 20.92% |
| DIS | The Walt Disney Company | 0.45% | $0.50 | 7.30% |
| ENTG | Entegris, Inc. | 0.45% | $0.40 | 21.08% |
| PCG-PC | Pacific Gas and Electric Company PFD 1ST 5% | 0.45% | $0.08 | 6.94% |
| WMS | Advanced Drainage Systems, Inc. | 0.45% | $0.68 | 11.54% |
| REVG | REV Group, Inc. | 0.44% | $0.27 | 14.08% |
| RYAN | Ryan Specialty Holdings, Inc. | 0.44% | $0.22 | 87.54% |
| TRS | TriMas Corporation | 0.44% | $0.16 | 14.97% |
| WAB | Westinghouse Air Brake Technologies Corporation | 0.44% | $0.96 | 13.90% |
| WING | Wingstop Inc. | 0.44% | $1.14 | 18.31% |
| TW | Tradeweb Markets Inc. | 0.43% | $0.46 | 15.57% |
| IBKR | Interactive Brokers Group, Inc. | 0.42% | $0.28 | 13.63% |
| MTRN | Materion Corporation | 0.42% | $0.55 | 58.77% |