Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Vitrolife AB (publ) (0YAY.L)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Medical - DevicesSector: Healthcare

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$73.88 - $188.29$111.57
Multi-Stage$51.74 - $56.50$54.08
Blended Fair Value$82.82
Current Price$129.70
Upside-36.14%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS7.91%20.90%1.000.850.800.640.000.680.600.420.390.24
YoY Growth--17.39%5.50%25.29%0.00%-100.00%13.98%41.96%8.58%59.91%62.27%
Dividend Yield--0.62%0.44%0.37%0.21%0.00%0.48%0.28%0.36%0.45%0.35%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)441.00
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)149.00
(=) Cash Retained (M)292.00
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)88.2055.1333.08
Cash Retained (M)292.00292.00292.00
(-) Cash Required (M)-88.20-55.13-33.08
(=) Excess Retained (M)203.80236.88258.93
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)135.46135.46135.46
(=) Excess Retained per Share1.501.751.91
LTM Dividend per Share1.101.101.10
(+) Excess Retained per Share1.501.751.91
(=) Adjusted Dividend2.602.853.01
WACC / Discount Rate9.22%9.22%9.22%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$73.88$111.57$188.29
Upside / Downside-43.04%-13.98%45.18%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)441.00469.67500.19532.71567.33604.21622.33
Payout Ratio33.79%45.03%56.27%67.51%78.76%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)149.00211.49281.47359.65446.82543.79575.66

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate9.22%9.22%9.22%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)191.82193.64195.45
Year 2 PV (M)231.55235.96240.41
Year 3 PV (M)268.35276.05283.90
Year 4 PV (M)302.37314.00325.96
Year 5 PV (M)333.77349.89366.63
PV of Terminal Value (M)5,681.235,955.636,240.54
Equity Value (M)7,009.087,325.177,652.89
Shares Outstanding (M)135.46135.46135.46
Fair Value$51.74$54.08$56.50
Upside / Downside-60.11%-58.31%-56.44%

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