Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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NP3 Fastigheter AB (publ) (0R43.L)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Real Estate - GeneralSector: Real Estate

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$3,232.50 - $3,808.43$3,569.06
Multi-Stage$1,273.09 - $1,396.60$1,333.69
Blended Fair Value$2,451.37
Current Price$251.50
Upside874.70%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS0.89%0.00%3.384.485.044.223.653.232.652.111.750.39
YoY Growth---24.64%-10.97%19.23%15.56%13.07%22.09%25.38%20.37%350.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--1.44%2.07%2.69%1.35%2.63%4.61%3.46%3.57%3.76%0.93%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)1,179.00
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)204.00
(=) Cash Retained (M)975.00
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)235.80147.3888.43
Cash Retained (M)975.00975.00975.00
(-) Cash Required (M)-235.80-147.38-88.43
(=) Excess Retained (M)739.20827.63886.58
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)61.5761.5761.57
(=) Excess Retained per Share12.0113.4414.40
LTM Dividend per Share3.313.313.31
(+) Excess Retained per Share12.0113.4414.40
(=) Adjusted Dividend15.3216.7617.71
WACC / Discount Rate4.57%4.57%4.57%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$3,232.50$3,569.06$3,808.43
Upside / Downside1,185.29%1,319.11%1,414.29%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)1,179.001,255.641,337.251,424.171,516.741,615.331,663.79
Payout Ratio17.30%31.84%46.38%60.92%75.46%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)204.00399.82620.24867.621,144.541,453.801,539.01

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate4.57%4.57%4.57%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)378.75382.34385.93
Year 2 PV (M)556.59567.19577.89
Year 3 PV (M)737.55758.72780.30
Year 4 PV (M)921.68957.12993.58
Year 5 PV (M)1,109.021,162.581,218.20
PV of Terminal Value (M)74,676.6178,283.5282,028.47
Equity Value (M)78,380.1982,111.4885,984.37
Shares Outstanding (M)61.5761.5761.57
Fair Value$1,273.09$1,333.69$1,396.60
Upside / Downside406.20%430.30%455.31%

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