Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Addtech AB (publ.) (0QI7.L)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Industrial - SpecialtiesSector: Industrials

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$1,252.88 - $1,476.10$1,383.33
Multi-Stage$386.01 - $423.08$404.20
Blended Fair Value$893.76
Current Price$305.20
Upside192.85%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2025202420232022202120202019201820172016
DPS17.58%14.21%2.802.501.801.201.001.251.000.870.810.80
YoY Growth--12.02%38.97%50.15%20.07%-19.94%24.91%14.47%7.80%0.46%8.50%
Dividend Yield--0.87%0.94%0.77%0.90%0.70%1.33%1.40%1.76%2.01%3.03%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)2,003.00
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)864.00
(=) Cash Retained (M)1,139.00
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)400.60250.38150.23
Cash Retained (M)1,139.001,139.001,139.00
(-) Cash Required (M)-400.60-250.38-150.23
(=) Excess Retained (M)738.40888.63988.78
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)269.86269.86269.86
(=) Excess Retained per Share2.743.293.66
LTM Dividend per Share3.203.203.20
(+) Excess Retained per Share2.743.293.66
(=) Adjusted Dividend5.946.496.87
WACC / Discount Rate5.01%5.01%5.01%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$1,252.88$1,383.33$1,476.10
Upside / Downside310.51%353.25%383.65%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)2,003.002,133.202,271.852,419.522,576.792,744.282,826.61
Payout Ratio43.14%52.51%61.88%71.25%80.63%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)864.001,120.101,405.851,724.012,077.592,469.862,614.62

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate5.01%5.01%5.01%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)1,056.601,066.611,076.63
Year 2 PV (M)1,250.961,274.791,298.84
Year 3 PV (M)1,447.091,488.641,530.96
Year 4 PV (M)1,645.011,708.281,773.35
Year 5 PV (M)1,844.731,933.832,026.35
PV of Terminal Value (M)96,925.97101,607.53106,468.26
Equity Value (M)104,170.37109,079.68114,174.39
Shares Outstanding (M)269.86269.86269.86
Fair Value$386.01$404.20$423.08
Upside / Downside26.48%32.44%38.62%

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