Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Amorepacific Corporation (090430.KS)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Household & Personal ProductsSector: Consumer Defensive

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$16,763.77 - $24,318.43$20,429.33
Multi-Stage$29,071.07 - $31,874.67$30,445.93
Blended Fair Value$25,437.63
Current Price$122,300.00
Upside-79.20%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS-4.97%3.32%914.35681.60987.34794.45992.881,179.591,279.481,579.181,369.97907.92
YoY Growth--34.15%-30.97%24.28%-19.99%-15.83%-7.81%-18.98%15.27%50.89%37.65%
Dividend Yield--0.90%0.53%0.72%0.50%0.38%0.70%0.66%0.50%0.49%0.23%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)158,065.02
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)92,271.01
(=) Cash Retained (M)65,794.00
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)31,613.0019,758.1311,854.88
Cash Retained (M)65,794.0065,794.0065,794.00
(-) Cash Required (M)-31,613.00-19,758.13-11,854.88
(=) Excess Retained (M)34,181.0046,035.8853,939.13
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)69.0269.0269.02
(=) Excess Retained per Share495.22666.98781.48
LTM Dividend per Share1,336.841,336.841,336.84
(+) Excess Retained per Share495.22666.98781.48
(=) Adjusted Dividend1,832.072,003.822,118.33
WACC / Discount Rate8.74%8.74%8.74%
Growth Rate-1.97%-0.97%0.03%
Fair Value$16,763.77$20,429.33$24,318.43
Upside / Downside-86.29%-83.30%-80.12%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)158,065.02156,529.61155,009.12153,503.40152,012.30150,535.69155,051.76
Payout Ratio58.38%64.70%71.03%77.35%83.68%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)92,271.01101,275.10110,095.55118,735.09127,196.40135,482.12143,422.88

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate8.74%8.74%8.74%
Growth Rate-1.97%-0.97%0.03%
Year 1 PV (M)92,192.9993,133.4694,073.93
Year 2 PV (M)91,234.7493,105.6294,995.49
Year 3 PV (M)89,570.4592,339.6695,165.37
Year 4 PV (M)87,348.5590,967.6794,698.10
Year 5 PV (M)84,695.0689,104.0193,694.70
PV of Terminal Value (M)1,561,487.251,642,773.291,727,409.82
Equity Value (M)2,006,529.042,101,423.722,200,037.41
Shares Outstanding (M)69.0269.0269.02
Fair Value$29,071.07$30,445.93$31,874.67
Upside / Downside-76.23%-75.11%-73.94%

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