Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Company Industry Sector

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Sector

Tapex Co., Ltd. (055490.KS)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Chemicals - SpecialtySector: Basic Materials

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$3,726.90 - $5,825.67$4,693.31
Multi-Stage$8,973.66 - $9,879.80$9,417.82
Blended Fair Value$7,055.56
Current Price$13,740.00
Upside-48.65%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS0.00%0.00%299.30889.04691.47493.910.000.000.000.000.000.00
YoY Growth---66.33%28.57%40.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--2.36%3.58%1.13%0.60%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)1,851.73
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)953.93
(=) Cash Retained (M)897.80
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)370.35231.47138.88
Cash Retained (M)897.80897.80897.80
(-) Cash Required (M)-370.35-231.47-138.88
(=) Excess Retained (M)527.45666.33758.92
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)4.784.784.78
(=) Excess Retained per Share110.44139.52158.91
LTM Dividend per Share199.74199.74199.74
(+) Excess Retained per Share110.44139.52158.91
(=) Adjusted Dividend310.18339.26358.65
WACC / Discount Rate6.16%6.16%6.16%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Fair Value$3,726.90$4,693.31$5,825.67
Upside / Downside-72.88%-65.84%-57.60%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)1,851.731,833.211,814.881,796.731,778.761,760.981,813.81
Payout Ratio51.52%59.21%66.91%74.61%82.30%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)953.931,085.491,214.331,340.471,463.981,584.881,677.77

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.16%6.16%6.16%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Year 1 PV (M)1,012.211,022.541,032.87
Year 2 PV (M)1,055.901,077.561,099.44
Year 3 PV (M)1,086.911,120.521,154.82
Year 4 PV (M)1,106.911,152.791,200.08
Year 5 PV (M)1,117.431,175.621,236.20
PV of Terminal Value (M)37,477.2639,428.7941,460.78
Equity Value (M)42,856.6344,977.8247,184.20
Shares Outstanding (M)4.784.784.78
Fair Value$8,973.66$9,417.82$9,879.80
Upside / Downside-34.69%-31.46%-28.09%

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