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Muhak Co., Ltd. (033920.KS)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Beverages - Wineries & DistilleriesSector: Consumer Defensive

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$17,181.70 - $26,751.22$21,600.14
Multi-Stage$39,638.53 - $43,691.21$41,624.79
Blended Fair Value$31,612.47
Current Price$7,770.00
Upside306.85%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS10.73%0.00%619.80229.93252.09153.920.00372.35372.35369.70259.850.00
YoY Growth--169.57%-8.79%63.79%0.00%-100.00%0.00%0.71%42.28%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--9.61%4.52%4.71%1.52%0.00%7.69%2.84%2.12%1.12%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)47,946.20
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)10,329.88
(=) Cash Retained (M)37,616.32
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)9,589.245,993.273,595.96
Cash Retained (M)37,616.3237,616.3237,616.32
(-) Cash Required (M)-9,589.24-5,993.27-3,595.96
(=) Excess Retained (M)28,027.0831,623.0434,020.35
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)26.5026.5026.50
(=) Excess Retained per Share1,057.821,193.541,284.02
LTM Dividend per Share389.88389.88389.88
(+) Excess Retained per Share1,057.821,193.541,284.02
(=) Adjusted Dividend1,447.691,583.411,673.89
WACC / Discount Rate6.26%6.26%6.26%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Fair Value$17,181.70$21,600.14$26,751.22
Upside / Downside121.13%177.99%244.29%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)47,946.2047,466.7446,992.0746,522.1546,056.9345,596.3646,964.25
Payout Ratio21.54%35.24%48.93%62.62%76.31%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)10,329.8816,725.2822,991.7329,131.1935,145.5541,036.7243,441.93

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.26%6.26%6.26%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Year 1 PV (M)15,581.3715,740.3615,899.35
Year 2 PV (M)19,954.2920,363.6020,777.06
Year 3 PV (M)23,553.4724,281.8825,025.15
Year 4 PV (M)26,472.7727,569.9528,700.87
Year 5 PV (M)28,796.1230,295.6031,856.90
PV of Terminal Value (M)935,874.68984,607.841,035,350.31
Equity Value (M)1,050,232.701,102,859.231,157,609.66
Shares Outstanding (M)26.5026.5026.50
Fair Value$39,638.53$41,624.79$43,691.21
Upside / Downside410.15%435.71%462.31%

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