Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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SHINSEGAE FOOD Inc. (031440.KS)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Packaged FoodsSector: Consumer Defensive

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$75,686.93 - $128,449.81$98,657.66
Multi-Stage$107,342.83 - $117,892.79$112,517.11
Blended Fair Value$105,587.39
Current Price$40,300.00
Upside162.00%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS0.00%1.22%749.73749.96749.96749.96749.77749.74749.96599.97499.97750.26
YoY Growth---0.03%0.00%0.00%0.03%0.00%-0.03%25.00%20.00%-33.36%12.99%
Dividend Yield--2.55%1.96%1.67%0.97%1.01%1.59%0.80%0.48%0.33%0.58%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)23,755.69
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)3,485.62
(=) Cash Retained (M)20,270.08
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)4,751.142,969.461,781.68
Cash Retained (M)20,270.0820,270.0820,270.08
(-) Cash Required (M)-4,751.14-2,969.46-1,781.68
(=) Excess Retained (M)15,518.9417,300.6218,488.40
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)3.873.873.87
(=) Excess Retained per Share4,007.474,467.564,774.28
LTM Dividend per Share900.09900.09900.09
(+) Excess Retained per Share4,007.474,467.564,774.28
(=) Adjusted Dividend4,907.575,367.655,674.37
WACC / Discount Rate7.61%7.61%7.61%
Growth Rate1.06%2.06%3.06%
Fair Value$75,686.93$98,657.66$128,449.81
Upside / Downside87.81%144.81%218.73%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)23,755.6924,244.9824,744.3525,254.0025,774.1526,305.0227,094.17
Payout Ratio14.67%29.74%44.80%59.87%74.93%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)3,485.627,210.0211,086.3715,119.3519,313.7523,674.5225,062.11

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate7.61%7.61%7.61%
Growth Rate1.06%2.06%3.06%
Year 1 PV (M)6,634.346,699.996,765.64
Year 2 PV (M)9,386.689,573.379,761.89
Year 3 PV (M)11,779.2312,132.3812,492.51
Year 4 PV (M)13,845.6014,401.8114,974.60
Year 5 PV (M)15,616.6416,404.7317,224.32
PV of Terminal Value (M)358,422.60376,510.25395,320.87
Equity Value (M)415,685.11435,722.53456,539.83
Shares Outstanding (M)3.873.873.87
Fair Value$107,342.83$112,517.11$117,892.79
Upside / Downside166.36%179.20%192.54%

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