Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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THN Corporation (019180.KS)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Auto - PartsSector: Consumer Cyclical

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$141,797.24 - $557,851.73$390,372.06
Multi-Stage$66,522.87 - $72,869.31$69,637.62
Blended Fair Value$230,004.84
Current Price$5,820.00
Upside3,851.97%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS3.71%6.69%60.0250.0150.0130.0160.0250.0150.0155.0147.107.18
YoY Growth--20.00%0.00%66.67%-50.00%20.00%0.00%-9.09%16.80%555.58%-77.12%
Dividend Yield--2.01%1.39%1.45%0.68%1.89%2.11%2.10%2.46%2.14%0.34%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)50,477.34
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)1,080.00
(=) Cash Retained (M)49,397.34
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)10,095.476,309.673,785.80
Cash Retained (M)49,397.3449,397.3449,397.34
(-) Cash Required (M)-10,095.47-6,309.67-3,785.80
(=) Excess Retained (M)39,301.8743,087.6745,611.54
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)18.0018.0018.00
(=) Excess Retained per Share2,184.012,394.392,534.64
LTM Dividend per Share60.0260.0260.02
(+) Excess Retained per Share2,184.012,394.392,534.64
(=) Adjusted Dividend2,244.032,454.412,594.66
WACC / Discount Rate7.17%7.17%7.17%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$141,797.24$390,372.06$557,851.73
Upside / Downside2,336.38%6,607.42%9,485.08%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)50,477.3453,758.3757,252.6660,974.0964,937.4069,158.3371,233.08
Payout Ratio2.14%19.71%37.28%54.86%72.43%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)1,080.0010,596.6721,345.9433,447.8447,032.8162,242.5065,890.60

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate7.17%7.17%7.17%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)9,794.919,887.759,980.60
Year 2 PV (M)18,238.0218,585.4018,936.06
Year 3 PV (M)26,415.6827,173.9827,946.65
Year 4 PV (M)34,334.1135,654.5037,012.62
Year 5 PV (M)41,999.4144,028.0046,134.22
PV of Terminal Value (M)1,066,313.461,117,816.801,171,291.29
Equity Value (M)1,197,095.591,253,146.431,311,301.45
Shares Outstanding (M)18.0018.0018.00
Fair Value$66,522.87$69,637.62$72,869.31
Upside / Downside1,043.00%1,096.52%1,152.05%

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