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Definitive Analysis

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Hansol Chemical Co., Ltd. (014680.KS)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: ChemicalsSector: Basic Materials

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$365,579.43 - $1,150,436.95$587,376.16
Multi-Stage$237,051.95 - $259,212.06$247,930.04
Blended Fair Value$417,653.10
Current Price$209,000.00
Upside99.83%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS12.18%15.60%2,124.832,237.362,263.441,910.421,495.521,196.04997.001,086.63911.50598.20
YoY Growth---5.03%-1.15%18.48%27.74%25.04%19.96%-8.25%19.21%52.37%20.00%
Dividend Yield--1.80%1.10%0.95%0.78%0.62%1.52%1.21%1.54%1.19%0.87%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)154,003.45
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)23,858.96
(=) Cash Retained (M)130,144.49
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)30,800.6919,250.4311,550.26
Cash Retained (M)130,144.49130,144.49130,144.49
(-) Cash Required (M)-30,800.69-19,250.43-11,550.26
(=) Excess Retained (M)99,343.80110,894.06118,594.23
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)11.1211.1211.12
(=) Excess Retained per Share8,932.599,971.1410,663.51
LTM Dividend per Share2,145.302,145.302,145.30
(+) Excess Retained per Share8,932.599,971.1410,663.51
(=) Adjusted Dividend11,077.8912,116.4412,808.81
WACC / Discount Rate8.70%8.70%8.70%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$365,579.43$587,376.16$1,150,436.95
Upside / Downside74.92%181.04%450.45%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)154,003.45164,013.68174,674.56186,028.41198,120.26210,998.07217,328.02
Payout Ratio15.49%30.39%45.30%60.20%75.10%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)23,858.9649,850.2979,119.70111,983.51148,785.33189,898.27201,028.42

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate8.70%8.70%8.70%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)45,431.1245,861.7546,292.37
Year 2 PV (M)65,713.7366,965.3968,228.86
Year 3 PV (M)84,763.9787,197.2389,676.63
Year 4 PV (M)102,636.79106,583.91110,643.80
Year 5 PV (M)119,384.97125,151.31131,138.34
PV of Terminal Value (M)2,218,442.742,325,594.352,436,846.91
Equity Value (M)2,636,373.312,757,353.942,882,826.91
Shares Outstanding (M)11.1211.1211.12
Fair Value$237,051.95$247,930.04$259,212.06
Upside / Downside13.42%18.63%24.02%

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