Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Kukdo Chemical Co., Ltd. (007690.KS)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: ChemicalsSector: Basic Materials

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$45,944.93 - $89,866.28$63,324.02
Multi-Stage$71,087.92 - $78,130.06$74,541.52
Blended Fair Value$68,932.77
Current Price$35,150.00
Upside96.11%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS3.32%5.34%1,124.721,335.782,136.16734.44938.28955.29970.62800.38996.71669.01
YoY Growth---15.80%-37.47%190.86%-21.72%-1.78%-1.58%21.27%-19.70%48.98%0.07%
Dividend Yield--3.84%3.59%4.67%1.30%1.82%3.29%2.63%1.78%2.70%1.31%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)25,399.07
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)5,004.32
(=) Cash Retained (M)20,394.75
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)5,079.813,174.881,904.93
Cash Retained (M)20,394.7520,394.7520,394.75
(-) Cash Required (M)-5,079.81-3,174.88-1,904.93
(=) Excess Retained (M)15,314.9417,219.8718,489.82
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)8.908.908.90
(=) Excess Retained per Share1,721.021,935.092,077.80
LTM Dividend per Share562.36562.36562.36
(+) Excess Retained per Share1,721.021,935.092,077.80
(=) Adjusted Dividend2,283.382,497.452,640.16
WACC / Discount Rate6.35%6.35%6.35%
Growth Rate1.32%2.32%3.32%
Fair Value$45,944.93$63,324.02$89,866.28
Upside / Downside30.71%80.15%155.67%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)25,399.0725,988.1826,590.9527,207.7027,838.7528,484.4529,338.98
Payout Ratio19.70%33.76%47.82%61.88%75.94%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)5,004.328,774.1812,716.2316,836.4221,140.9025,636.0027,138.56

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.35%6.35%6.35%
Growth Rate1.32%2.32%3.32%
Year 1 PV (M)8,169.298,249.928,330.55
Year 2 PV (M)11,023.3511,242.0211,462.84
Year 3 PV (M)13,588.8413,995.1814,409.55
Year 4 PV (M)15,886.7016,523.2417,178.72
Year 5 PV (M)17,936.5118,839.3019,778.09
PV of Terminal Value (M)565,988.94594,476.68624,100.13
Equity Value (M)632,593.63663,326.34695,259.86
Shares Outstanding (M)8.908.908.90
Fair Value$71,087.92$74,541.52$78,130.06
Upside / Downside102.24%112.07%122.28%

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