Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Shinyoungwacoal,Inc. (005800.KS)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Apparel - ManufacturersSector: Consumer Cyclical

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$23,591.78 - $77,477.46$38,350.65
Multi-Stage$77,690.47 - $85,692.27$81,612.61
Blended Fair Value$59,981.63
Current Price$14,180.00
Upside323.00%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS0.00%0.00%150.13150.13150.13150.13150.13150.13150.13250.21150.13150.13
YoY Growth--0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%-40.00%66.67%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--1.51%1.60%1.39%1.05%1.54%2.13%1.23%1.84%0.93%1.01%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)8,274.90
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)1,350.00
(=) Cash Retained (M)6,924.90
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)1,654.981,034.36620.62
Cash Retained (M)6,924.906,924.906,924.90
(-) Cash Required (M)-1,654.98-1,034.36-620.62
(=) Excess Retained (M)5,269.925,890.536,304.28
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)8.998.998.99
(=) Excess Retained per Share586.04655.05701.06
LTM Dividend per Share150.13150.13150.13
(+) Excess Retained per Share586.04655.05701.06
(=) Adjusted Dividend736.16805.18851.19
WACC / Discount Rate3.13%3.13%3.13%
Growth Rate0.01%1.01%2.01%
Fair Value$23,591.78$38,350.65$77,477.46
Upside / Downside66.37%170.46%446.39%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)8,274.908,358.378,442.688,527.848,613.868,700.758,961.77
Payout Ratio16.31%31.05%45.79%60.53%75.26%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)1,350.002,595.403,865.795,161.546,483.047,830.678,289.64

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate3.13%3.13%3.13%
Growth Rate0.01%1.01%2.01%
Year 1 PV (M)2,491.732,516.642,541.56
Year 2 PV (M)3,563.123,634.743,707.06
Year 3 PV (M)4,567.404,705.784,846.93
Year 4 PV (M)5,507.635,731.245,961.59
Year 5 PV (M)6,386.786,712.547,051.46
PV of Terminal Value (M)676,111.12710,596.52746,474.94
Equity Value (M)698,627.78733,897.46770,583.55
Shares Outstanding (M)8.998.998.99
Fair Value$77,690.47$81,612.61$85,692.27
Upside / Downside447.89%475.55%504.32%

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