Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Hanjin Heavy Industries & Construction Holdings Co., Ltd. (003480.KS)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Engineering & ConstructionSector: Industrials

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$23,990.97 - $37,122.54$30,079.99
Multi-Stage$52,883.84 - $58,327.51$55,551.71
Blended Fair Value$42,815.85
Current Price$5,020.00
Upside752.91%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS0.00%-8.75%100.46100.46100.460.000.000.000.0013.9013.9095.18
YoY Growth--0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%-100.00%0.00%-85.40%-62.10%
Dividend Yield--2.69%3.10%2.74%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.38%0.24%1.68%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)66,924.00
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)2,856.00
(=) Cash Retained (M)64,068.00
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)13,384.808,365.505,019.30
Cash Retained (M)64,068.0064,068.0064,068.00
(-) Cash Required (M)-13,384.80-8,365.50-5,019.30
(=) Excess Retained (M)50,683.2055,702.5059,048.70
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)25.9725.9725.97
(=) Excess Retained per Share1,951.492,144.752,273.60
LTM Dividend per Share109.97109.97109.97
(+) Excess Retained per Share1,951.492,144.752,273.60
(=) Adjusted Dividend2,061.462,254.722,383.56
WACC / Discount Rate6.42%6.42%6.42%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Fair Value$23,990.97$30,079.99$37,122.54
Upside / Downside377.91%499.20%639.49%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)66,924.0066,254.7665,592.2164,936.2964,286.9363,644.0665,553.38
Payout Ratio4.27%21.41%38.56%55.71%72.85%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)2,856.0014,187.8125,292.7036,174.0746,835.2857,279.6560,636.88

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.42%6.42%6.42%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Year 1 PV (M)13,197.1413,331.8013,466.47
Year 2 PV (M)21,883.8622,332.7522,786.19
Year 3 PV (M)29,113.2430,013.5830,932.30
Year 4 PV (M)35,061.5136,514.6538,012.49
Year 5 PV (M)39,886.1641,963.1344,125.73
PV of Terminal Value (M)1,234,330.831,298,605.301,365,529.85
Equity Value (M)1,373,472.731,442,761.201,514,853.02
Shares Outstanding (M)25.9725.9725.97
Fair Value$52,883.84$55,551.71$58,327.51
Upside / Downside953.46%1,006.61%1,061.90%

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