Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Sector

Xiamen Intretech Inc. (002925.SZ)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Consumer ElectronicsSector: Technology

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$9.99 - $44.03$17.41
Multi-Stage$29.89 - $33.01$31.42
Blended Fair Value$24.41
Current Price$20.09
Upside21.52%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS0.51%43.01%0.630.861.080.640.620.620.490.210.090.05
YoY Growth---26.80%-19.82%68.85%2.19%1.27%25.93%132.86%144.05%67.02%191.81%
Dividend Yield--4.00%5.42%5.17%2.60%1.66%2.31%1.51%0.42%0.45%0.27%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)257.58
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)110.99
(=) Cash Retained (M)146.59
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)51.5232.2019.32
Cash Retained (M)146.59146.59146.59
(-) Cash Required (M)-51.52-32.20-19.32
(=) Excess Retained (M)95.08114.39127.27
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)744.20744.20744.20
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.130.150.17
LTM Dividend per Share0.150.150.15
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.130.150.17
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.280.300.32
WACC / Discount Rate1.24%1.24%1.24%
Growth Rate-1.49%-0.49%0.51%
Fair Value$9.99$17.41$44.03
Upside / Downside-50.28%-13.34%119.16%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)257.58256.31255.04253.78252.53251.28258.82
Payout Ratio43.09%52.47%61.85%71.24%80.62%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)110.99134.49157.75180.78203.58226.16239.41

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate1.24%1.24%1.24%
Growth Rate-1.49%-0.49%0.51%
Year 1 PV (M)131.51132.84134.18
Year 2 PV (M)150.84153.92157.03
Year 3 PV (M)169.03174.23179.54
Year 4 PV (M)186.14193.81201.72
Year 5 PV (M)202.19212.67223.57
PV of Terminal Value (M)21,404.5822,513.3123,667.53
Equity Value (M)22,244.2923,380.7924,563.56
Shares Outstanding (M)744.20744.20744.20
Fair Value$29.89$31.42$33.01
Upside / Downside48.78%56.38%64.29%

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