Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

Financial Statements

Company Industry Sector

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Company Industry Sector

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Industry

Sector

Zhejiang Jingxing Paper Joint Stock Co., Ltd. (002067.SZ)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Paper, Lumber & Forest ProductsSector: Basic Materials

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$0.28 - $0.39$0.33
Multi-Stage$0.55 - $0.61$0.58
Blended Fair Value$0.45
Current Price$6.28
Upside-92.76%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS-9.44%-6.76%0.050.020.020.020.060.090.120.140.090.12
YoY Growth--144.06%-4.71%-7.62%-56.64%-34.60%-27.44%-13.32%51.51%-21.72%9.33%
Dividend Yield--1.40%0.70%0.65%0.60%1.44%2.85%2.78%2.42%1.45%1.77%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)62.09
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)24.11
(=) Cash Retained (M)37.98
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)12.427.764.66
Cash Retained (M)37.9837.9837.98
(-) Cash Required (M)-12.42-7.76-4.66
(=) Excess Retained (M)25.5630.2233.32
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)1,237.821,237.821,237.82
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.020.020.03
LTM Dividend per Share0.020.020.02
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.020.020.03
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.040.040.05
WACC / Discount Rate8.60%8.60%8.60%
Growth Rate-5.05%-4.05%-3.05%
Fair Value$0.28$0.33$0.39
Upside / Downside-95.56%-94.70%-93.85%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)62.0959.5857.1754.8552.6350.5052.02
Payout Ratio38.84%49.07%59.30%69.53%79.77%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)24.1129.2333.9038.1441.9845.4548.12

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate8.60%8.60%8.60%
Growth Rate-5.05%-4.05%-3.05%
Year 1 PV (M)26.6426.9227.20
Year 2 PV (M)28.1528.7429.35
Year 3 PV (M)28.8629.7830.72
Year 4 PV (M)28.9430.1831.46
Year 5 PV (M)28.5530.0931.69
PV of Terminal Value (M)539.41568.42598.66
Equity Value (M)680.54714.12749.07
Shares Outstanding (M)1,237.821,237.821,237.82
Fair Value$0.55$0.58$0.61
Upside / Downside-91.25%-90.81%-90.36%

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