Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Sector

DeHua TB New Decoration Material Co.,Ltd (002043.SZ)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Paper, Lumber & Forest ProductsSector: Basic Materials

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$90.95 - $176.05$164.98
Multi-Stage$27.40 - $29.99$28.67
Blended Fair Value$96.83
Current Price$10.74
Upside801.56%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS23.73%46.79%0.820.500.440.230.300.280.260.070.070.02
YoY Growth--63.80%13.42%89.55%-21.32%4.68%10.71%271.23%-3.02%307.02%-1.27%
Dividend Yield--7.73%5.14%3.68%2.28%2.75%3.81%3.41%0.63%0.51%0.28%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)732.10
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)272.34
(=) Cash Retained (M)459.76
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)146.4291.5154.91
Cash Retained (M)459.76459.76459.76
(-) Cash Required (M)-146.42-91.51-54.91
(=) Excess Retained (M)313.34368.25404.85
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)827.03827.03827.03
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.380.450.49
LTM Dividend per Share0.330.330.33
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.380.450.49
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.710.770.82
WACC / Discount Rate6.32%6.32%6.32%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$90.95$164.98$176.05
Upside / Downside746.81%1,436.15%1,539.18%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)732.10779.69830.37884.34941.831,003.041,033.14
Payout Ratio37.20%47.76%58.32%68.88%79.44%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)272.34372.38484.27609.14748.19902.74955.65

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.32%6.32%6.32%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)346.95350.24353.53
Year 2 PV (M)420.39428.40436.48
Year 3 PV (M)492.67506.82521.23
Year 4 PV (M)563.82585.50607.80
Year 5 PV (M)633.83664.44696.23
PV of Terminal Value (M)20,201.0621,176.7822,189.85
Equity Value (M)22,658.7223,712.1824,805.11
Shares Outstanding (M)827.03827.03827.03
Fair Value$27.40$28.67$29.99
Upside / Downside155.10%166.96%179.26%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

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