Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Emdoor Information CO.,LTD. (001314.SZ)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Consumer ElectronicsSector: Technology

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$0.92 - $1.32$1.12
Multi-Stage$1.52 - $1.66$1.59
Blended Fair Value$1.35
Current Price$50.94
Upside-97.34%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201620152014
DPS8.42%0.00%0.320.510.040.350.210.220.080.000.000.00
YoY Growth---37.14%1,078.61%-87.53%64.78%-1.57%169.63%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--0.67%1.08%0.10%0.69%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)20.06
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)12.73
(=) Cash Retained (M)7.33
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)4.012.511.50
Cash Retained (M)7.337.337.33
(-) Cash Required (M)-4.01-2.51-1.50
(=) Excess Retained (M)3.324.825.82
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)147.09147.09147.09
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.020.030.04
LTM Dividend per Share0.090.090.09
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.020.030.04
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.110.120.13
WACC / Discount Rate9.56%9.56%9.56%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Fair Value$0.92$1.12$1.32
Upside / Downside-98.18%-97.80%-97.41%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)20.0619.8619.6619.4619.2719.0819.65
Payout Ratio63.47%68.77%74.08%79.39%84.69%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)12.7313.6614.5715.4516.3217.1718.18

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate9.56%9.56%9.56%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Year 1 PV (M)12.3412.4712.59
Year 2 PV (M)11.8912.1312.38
Year 3 PV (M)11.4011.7512.11
Year 4 PV (M)10.8811.3311.79
Year 5 PV (M)10.3410.8811.44
PV of Terminal Value (M)166.75175.43184.47
Equity Value (M)223.59233.98244.78
Shares Outstanding (M)147.09147.09147.09
Fair Value$1.52$1.59$1.66
Upside / Downside-97.02%-96.88%-96.73%

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