Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Company Industry Sector

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Sector

Zhejiang Weigang Technology Co., Ltd. (001256.SZ)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Industrial - MachinerySector: Industrials

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$8.56 - $15.01$11.31
Multi-Stage$9.08 - $9.94$9.50
Blended Fair Value$10.41
Current Price$22.36
Upside-53.47%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018
DPS14.81%0.00%0.200.170.070.011.630.100.100.000.000.00
YoY Growth--16.90%126.67%484.48%-99.22%1,554.20%2.11%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--0.69%1.11%0.38%0.06%8.31%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)91.16
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)28.74
(=) Cash Retained (M)62.42
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)18.2311.396.84
Cash Retained (M)62.4262.4262.42
(-) Cash Required (M)-18.23-11.39-6.84
(=) Excess Retained (M)44.1951.0355.58
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)143.93143.93143.93
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.310.350.39
LTM Dividend per Share0.200.200.20
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.310.350.39
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.510.550.59
WACC / Discount Rate9.17%9.17%9.17%
Growth Rate3.07%4.07%5.07%
Fair Value$8.56$11.31$15.01
Upside / Downside-61.71%-49.43%-32.86%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)91.1694.8698.72102.74106.92111.26114.60
Payout Ratio31.52%43.22%54.91%66.61%78.30%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)28.7441.0054.2168.4383.72100.14106.01

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate9.17%9.17%9.17%
Growth Rate3.07%4.07%5.07%
Year 1 PV (M)37.1937.5637.92
Year 2 PV (M)44.6245.4946.37
Year 3 PV (M)51.1052.6054.13
Year 4 PV (M)56.7158.9561.24
Year 5 PV (M)61.5464.5967.75
PV of Terminal Value (M)1,056.331,108.581,162.88
Equity Value (M)1,307.501,367.761,430.29
Shares Outstanding (M)143.93143.93143.93
Fair Value$9.08$9.50$9.94
Upside / Downside-59.37%-57.50%-55.56%

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