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Heungkuk Fire&Marine Insurance Co., Ltd. (000540.KS)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Insurance - Property & CasualtySector: Financial Services

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$8,678.42 - $13,210.13$10,803.73
Multi-Stage$17,606.15 - $19,382.37$18,476.82
Blended Fair Value$14,640.28
Current Price$3,960.00
Upside269.70%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS19.73%0.00%186.88186.87119.4475.9675.9675.9675.9675.960.000.00
YoY Growth--0.01%56.45%57.25%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--5.53%4.48%3.76%1.88%1.85%3.37%1.54%1.23%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)67,886.00
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)19,002.00
(=) Cash Retained (M)48,884.00
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)13,577.208,485.755,091.45
Cash Retained (M)48,884.0048,884.0048,884.00
(-) Cash Required (M)-13,577.20-8,485.75-5,091.45
(=) Excess Retained (M)35,306.8040,398.2543,792.55
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)69.0469.0469.04
(=) Excess Retained per Share511.41585.15634.32
LTM Dividend per Share275.24275.24275.24
(+) Excess Retained per Share511.41585.15634.32
(=) Adjusted Dividend786.64860.39909.56
WACC / Discount Rate6.99%6.99%6.99%
Growth Rate-1.90%-0.90%0.10%
Fair Value$8,678.42$10,803.73$13,210.13
Upside / Downside119.15%172.82%233.59%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)67,886.0067,276.4266,672.3166,073.6265,480.3164,892.3366,839.10
Payout Ratio27.99%40.39%52.79%65.20%77.60%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)19,002.0027,174.8535,199.3943,077.6350,811.5558,403.1061,826.17

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.99%6.99%6.99%
Growth Rate-1.90%-0.90%0.10%
Year 1 PV (M)25,142.1125,398.4025,654.68
Year 2 PV (M)30,130.3630,747.7631,371.41
Year 3 PV (M)34,115.8035,169.7436,245.17
Year 4 PV (M)37,230.6538,772.0640,360.84
Year 5 PV (M)39,592.1141,651.5843,795.87
PV of Terminal Value (M)1,049,295.801,103,877.081,160,706.41
Equity Value (M)1,215,506.841,275,616.611,338,134.38
Shares Outstanding (M)69.0469.0469.04
Fair Value$17,606.15$18,476.82$19,382.37
Upside / Downside344.60%366.59%389.45%

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