Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Dong-E-E-Jiao Co.,Ltd. (000423.SZ)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Drug Manufacturers - Specialty & GenericSector: Healthcare

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$213.50 - $519.50$486.84
Multi-Stage$76.40 - $83.59$79.93
Blended Fair Value$283.39
Current Price$47.40
Upside497.86%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS21.36%15.12%2.931.180.650.310.231.110.970.950.820.82
YoY Growth--148.20%80.90%112.41%33.96%-79.40%15.22%1.21%16.11%0.85%13.75%
Dividend Yield--4.85%1.87%1.23%0.91%0.61%4.32%1.96%1.55%1.25%1.68%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)1,678.83
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)817.85
(=) Cash Retained (M)860.98
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)335.77209.85125.91
Cash Retained (M)860.98860.98860.98
(-) Cash Required (M)-335.77-209.85-125.91
(=) Excess Retained (M)525.22651.13735.07
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)642.70642.70642.70
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.821.011.14
LTM Dividend per Share1.271.271.27
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.821.011.14
(=) Adjusted Dividend2.092.292.42
WACC / Discount Rate6.53%6.53%6.53%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$213.50$486.84$519.50
Upside / Downside350.42%927.10%995.98%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)1,678.831,787.961,904.182,027.952,159.762,300.152,369.15
Payout Ratio48.72%56.97%65.23%73.49%81.74%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)817.851,018.641,242.081,490.261,765.462,070.132,191.47

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.53%6.53%6.53%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)947.20956.18965.16
Year 2 PV (M)1,073.961,094.421,115.07
Year 3 PV (M)1,198.181,232.581,267.62
Year 4 PV (M)1,319.891,370.651,422.86
Year 5 PV (M)1,439.131,508.641,580.81
PV of Terminal Value (M)43,125.7145,208.7047,371.41
Equity Value (M)49,104.0751,371.1653,722.93
Shares Outstanding (M)642.70642.70642.70
Fair Value$76.40$79.93$83.59
Upside / Downside61.19%68.63%76.35%

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