Definitive Analysis
| Stable Growth | $7,531.83 - $14,675.43 | $13,753.03 |
| Multi-Stage | $2,293.13 - $2,509.60 | $2,399.38 |
| Blended Fair Value | $8,076.20 | |
| Current Price | $1,930.00 | |
| Upside | 318.46% | |
| Decision | Buy | |
| Metric | 5Y CAGR | 10Y CAGR | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 | 2020 | 2019 | 2018 | 2017 | 2016 | 2015 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DPS | 61.14% | 22.20% | 28.68 | 24.06 | 18.78 | 9.30 | 19.41 | 2.64 | 5.77 | 4.35 | 4.35 | 3.85 |
| YoY Growth | - | - | 19.20% | 28.12% | 101.94% | -52.09% | 635.23% | -54.25% | 32.64% | 0.00% | 12.99% | -0.35% |
| Dividend Yield | - | - | 1.40% | 0.83% | 0.65% | 0.61% | 2.16% | 0.33% | 0.64% | 0.71% | 0.84% | 0.65% |
| Net Income To Common (M) | 3,064,186.00 |
| (-) Cash Dividends Paid (M) | 1,416,401.00 |
| (=) Cash Retained (M) | 1,647,785.00 |
| Metric | LOW | BASE | HIGH |
|---|---|---|---|
| Required Retention Ratio | 20.0% | 12.5% | 7.5% |
| (=) Cash Required (M) | 612,837.20 | 383,023.25 | 229,813.95 |
| Cash Retained (M) | 1,647,785.00 | 1,647,785.00 | 1,647,785.00 |
| (-) Cash Required (M) | -612,837.20 | -383,023.25 | -229,813.95 |
| (=) Excess Retained (M) | 1,034,947.80 | 1,264,761.75 | 1,417,971.05 |
| (/) Shares Outstanding (M) | 41,524.50 | 41,524.50 | 41,524.50 |
| (=) Excess Retained per Share | 24.92 | 30.46 | 34.15 |
| LTM Dividend per Share | 34.11 | 34.11 | 34.11 |
| (+) Excess Retained per Share | 24.92 | 30.46 | 34.15 |
| (=) Adjusted Dividend | 59.03 | 64.57 | 68.26 |
| WACC / Discount Rate | 6.33% | 6.33% | 6.33% |
| Growth Rate | 5.50% | 6.50% | 7.50% |
| Fair Value | $7,531.83 | $13,753.03 | $14,675.43 |
| Upside / Downside | 290.25% | 612.59% | 660.39% |
| Metric | TTM | Dec-27 | Dec-28 | Dec-29 | Dec-30 | Dec-31 | Terminal |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Net Income (M) | 3,064,186.00 | 3,263,358.09 | 3,475,476.37 | 3,701,382.33 | 3,941,972.18 | 4,198,200.37 | 4,324,146.38 |
| Payout Ratio | 46.22% | 54.98% | 63.73% | 72.49% | 81.24% | 90.00% | 92.50% |
| Projected Dividends (M) | 1,416,401.00 | 1,794,178.11 | 2,215,081.95 | 2,683,122.88 | 3,202,650.42 | 3,778,380.34 | 3,999,835.41 |
| Metric | LOW | BASE | HIGH |
|---|---|---|---|
| WACC / Discount Rate | 6.33% | 6.33% | 6.33% |
| Growth Rate | 5.50% | 6.50% | 7.50% |
| Year 1 PV (M) | 1,671,572.65 | 1,687,416.94 | 1,703,261.23 |
| Year 2 PV (M) | 1,922,689.72 | 1,959,311.56 | 1,996,278.88 |
| Year 3 PV (M) | 2,169,799.84 | 2,232,086.99 | 2,295,554.91 |
| Year 4 PV (M) | 2,412,950.14 | 2,505,745.40 | 2,601,191.74 |
| Year 5 PV (M) | 2,652,187.28 | 2,780,288.92 | 2,913,293.31 |
| PV of Terminal Value (M) | 84,391,944.67 | 88,468,107.15 | 92,700,273.96 |
| Equity Value (M) | 95,221,144.29 | 99,632,956.95 | 104,209,854.04 |
| Shares Outstanding (M) | 41,524.50 | 41,524.50 | 41,524.50 |
| Fair Value | $2,293.13 | $2,399.38 | $2,509.60 |
| Upside / Downside | 18.82% | 24.32% | 30.03% |
| Ticker ⇵ | Company ⇵ | Dividend Yield % ▼ | Dividend Per Share ⇵ | Payout Ratio % ⇵ |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ODFL | Old Dominion Freight Line, Inc. | 0.69% | $1.10 | 22.00% |
| RRBI | Red River Bancshares, Inc. | 0.69% | $0.48 | 7.90% |
| SSD | Simpson Manufacturing Co., Inc. | 0.69% | $1.14 | 13.76% |
| WCC | WESCO International, Inc. | 0.69% | $1.75 | 13.38% |
| ALG | Alamo Group Inc. | 0.68% | $1.15 | 11.96% |
| CBK | Commercial Bancgroup, Inc. Common Stock | 0.68% | $0.16 | 6.13% |
| IRMD | IRadimed Corporation | 0.68% | $0.65 | 39.59% |
| UNF | UniFirst Corporation | 0.68% | $1.32 | 16.37% |
| WTS | Watts Water Technologies, Inc. | 0.68% | $1.90 | 19.65% |
| 0HF3.L | Cencora | 0.67% | $2.25 | 28.12% |
| AIT | Applied Industrial Technologies, Inc. | 0.67% | $1.75 | 16.64% |
| CLMB | Climb Global Solutions, Inc. | 0.67% | $0.68 | 14.50% |
| ASTH | Astrana Health, Inc. | 0.66% | $0.17 | 86.52% |
| AVGO | Broadcom Inc. | 0.66% | $2.28 | 48.18% |
| ENS | EnerSys | 0.66% | $0.99 | 11.20% |
| HLIO | Helios Technologies, Inc. | 0.66% | $0.36 | 35.50% |
| ICFI | ICF International, Inc. | 0.66% | $0.56 | 10.52% |
| VMC | Vulcan Materials Company | 0.66% | $1.93 | 22.82% |
| AAME | Atlantic American Corporation | 0.65% | $0.02 | 7.99% |
| AMAT | Applied Materials, Inc. | 0.65% | $1.73 | 19.78% |
| CRM | Salesforce, Inc. | 0.65% | $1.64 | 21.86% |
| GHC | Graham Holdings Company | 0.65% | $7.06 | 4.22% |
| LFAC | LF Capital Acquisition Corp. II | 0.65% | $0.07 | 24.33% |
| BSY | Bentley Systems, Incorporated | 0.64% | $0.25 | 30.41% |
| EHC | Encompass Health Corporation | 0.64% | $0.68 | 12.77% |
| LAD | Lithia Motors, Inc. | 0.64% | $2.13 | 6.25% |
| PRBM | Parabellum Acquisition Corp. | 0.64% | $0.06 | 5.11% |
| VRSN | VeriSign, Inc. | 0.64% | $1.54 | 17.77% |
| AWI | Armstrong World Industries, Inc. | 0.63% | $1.24 | 17.71% |
| ESQ | Esquire Financial Holdings, Inc. | 0.63% | $0.64 | 11.29% |
| SGI | Somnigroup International Inc | 0.63% | $0.56 | 37.60% |
| ULS | UL Solutions Inc. | 0.63% | $0.51 | 30.38% |
| VMI | Valmont Industries, Inc. | 0.63% | $2.58 | 21.97% |
| ARCB | ArcBest Corporation | 0.62% | $0.48 | 11.39% |
| V | Visa Inc. | 0.62% | $2.13 | 23.10% |
| LSXMA | The Liberty SiriusXM Group | 0.61% | $0.14 | 1.73% |
| 0J1R.L | HCA Healthcare, Inc. | 0.60% | $2.81 | 10.70% |
| MPWR | Monolithic Power Systems, Inc. | 0.60% | $5.66 | 14.34% |
| RXN | Zurn Water Solutions Corporation | 0.60% | $0.39 | 24.10% |
| 0I47.L | Costco Wholesale Corporation | 0.59% | $5.05 | 27.04% |
| DJCO | Daily Journal Corporation | 0.59% | $2.95 | 4.20% |
| DRS | Leonardo DRS, Inc. | 0.59% | $0.20 | 20.75% |
| FCNCA | First Citizens BancShares, Inc. | 0.59% | $12.69 | 7.01% |
| AME | AMETEK, Inc. | 0.58% | $1.20 | 19.00% |
| KLAC | KLA Corporation | 0.57% | $7.26 | 22.67% |
| SXI | Standex International Corporation | 0.57% | $1.27 | 29.15% |
| RDVT | Red Violet, Inc. | 0.56% | $0.29 | 37.32% |
| 0IRE.L | Fortive Corporation | 0.55% | $0.30 | 16.72% |
| AIMC | Altra Industrial Motion Corp. | 0.55% | $0.34 | 17.56% |
| BWXT | BWX Technologies, Inc. | 0.55% | $1.00 | 29.87% |