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HCA Healthcare, Inc.

ID: 0J1R.L SECTOR: Healthcare INDUSTRY: Medical - Equipment & Services
483.05
-8.12 (-1.65%)
Ref: 2026-04-20

Dividend Discount Models Snapshot

ModelRangeSelected
Stable Growth DDM $797.79 - $2,160.22 $1,221.44
Multi-Stage DDM $432.71 - $472.97 $452.48
Blended Fair Value $836.96
Stock Price$499.05

Dividend History (Last 10 Years)

Metric 2025202420232022202120202019201820172016
DPS 2.9432.6362.3912.2161.8980.4431.5791.3710.0000.000
YoY % 11.67%10.21%7.91%16.75%328.46%-71.95%15.23%0.00%0.00%0.00%
Yield 0.59%0.53%0.48%0.44%0.38%0.09%0.32%0.27%0.00%0.00%

CAGRValue
5 Year46.04%
10 Year0.00%

Discounted Dividend Model - Stable Growth

MetricRangeSelected
LT Growth 5.50% to 7.50% 6.50%
WACC9.00%9.00%
Fair Value $797.79 - $2,160.22 $1,221.44

Calculation Details (Millions)

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio 20.0% 12.5% 7.5%
(*) Adjusted Net Income 6,784.00 6,784.00 6,784.00
(=) Cash Required 1,356.80 848.00 508.80
(=) Excess Retained per Share 23.52 25.73 27.20
LTM Dividend per Share 2.943 2.943 2.943
(=) Adjusted Dividend 26.467 28.672 30.143

Multi-Stage Projections (BASE Case - Millions)

MetricTTMYear 1Year 2Year 3Year 4Year 5
Net Income 6,784.00 7,224.967,694.588,194.738,727.399,294.67
Projected Dividends 679.00 1,806.243,154.784,671.006,370.998,365.20

Multi-Stage Valuation (Millions)

Present ValuesLOWBASEHIGH
Year 1 PV 1,713.82 1,730.06 1,746.31
Year 2 PV 2,720.41 2,772.23 2,824.53
Year 3 PV 3,660.60 3,765.68 3,872.75
Year 4 PV 4,537.60 4,712.10 4,891.59
Year 5 PV 5,414.66 5,676.19 5,947.73
TV PV 81,784.06 85,734.26 89,835.64
Equity Value 99,831.15 104,390.52 109,118.56
Fair Value $432.71 $452.48 $472.97

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EMD EMD 18.84% $2.03 78.17%
SR-PA SR-PA 18.76% $4.54 98.60%
SRV SRV 18.74% $7.53 66.75%
CIK CIK 18.41% $0.52 82.82%
DHY DHY 18.39% $0.37 88.67%
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AIF AIF 17.93% $2.66 60.44%
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GBAB GBAB 17.43% $2.59 74.37%
TEI TEI 17.42% $1.14 64.65%
ISD ISD 17.40% $2.52 96.64%
HIX HIX 17.39% $0.73 96.11%
NXG NXG 17.31% $8.79 83.58%
HPI HPI 17.11% $2.79 76.40%
RCS RCS 17.08% $1.00 75.51%
DUKB DUKB 16.95% $4.19 65.28%
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BGY BGY 15.99% $0.94 99.21%
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DSL DSL 15.85% $1.78 54.50%
PDT PDT 15.76% $2.01 62.66%
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EOD EOD 15.39% $0.90 52.51%
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