Definitive Analysis
| Stable Growth | $44,003.88 - $51,844.02 | $48,585.44 |
| Multi-Stage | $111,815.96 - $122,771.83 | $117,191.34 |
| Blended Fair Value | $82,888.39 | |
| Current Price | $4,772.00 | |
| Upside | 1,636.97% | |
| Decision | Buy | |
| Metric | 5Y CAGR | 10Y CAGR | 2025 | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 | 2020 | 2019 | 2018 | 2017 | 2016 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DPS | 18.56% | 17.00% | 103.34 | 106.63 | 98.62 | 60.82 | 46.15 | 44.12 | 37.68 | 26.91 | 24.73 | 22.57 |
| YoY Growth | - | - | -3.09% | 8.13% | 62.15% | 31.79% | 4.59% | 17.09% | 40.06% | 8.81% | 9.54% | 5.04% |
| Dividend Yield | - | - | 2.17% | 1.71% | 2.07% | 1.99% | 1.24% | 1.75% | 1.83% | 1.36% | 1.21% | 1.89% |
| Net Income To Common (M) | 516,429.00 |
| (-) Cash Dividends Paid (M) | 103,800.00 |
| (=) Cash Retained (M) | 412,629.00 |
| Metric | LOW | BASE | HIGH |
|---|---|---|---|
| Required Retention Ratio | 20.0% | 12.5% | 7.5% |
| (=) Cash Required (M) | 103,285.80 | 64,553.63 | 38,732.18 |
| Cash Retained (M) | 412,629.00 | 412,629.00 | 412,629.00 |
| (-) Cash Required (M) | -103,285.80 | -64,553.63 | -38,732.18 |
| (=) Excess Retained (M) | 309,343.20 | 348,075.38 | 373,896.83 |
| (/) Shares Outstanding (M) | 1,981.03 | 1,981.03 | 1,981.03 |
| (=) Excess Retained per Share | 156.15 | 175.70 | 188.74 |
| LTM Dividend per Share | 52.40 | 52.40 | 52.40 |
| (+) Excess Retained per Share | 156.15 | 175.70 | 188.74 |
| (=) Adjusted Dividend | 208.55 | 228.10 | 241.13 |
| WACC / Discount Rate | -21.57% | -21.57% | -21.57% |
| Growth Rate | 5.50% | 6.50% | 7.50% |
| Fair Value | $44,003.88 | $48,585.44 | $51,844.02 |
| Upside / Downside | 822.13% | 918.14% | 986.42% |
| Metric | TTM | Dec-27 | Dec-28 | Dec-29 | Dec-30 | Dec-31 | Terminal |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Net Income (M) | 516,429.00 | 549,996.89 | 585,746.68 | 623,820.22 | 664,368.53 | 707,552.49 | 728,779.06 |
| Payout Ratio | 20.10% | 34.08% | 48.06% | 62.04% | 76.02% | 90.00% | 92.50% |
| Projected Dividends (M) | 103,800.00 | 187,437.04 | 281,508.34 | 387,016.99 | 505,052.38 | 636,797.24 | 674,120.63 |
| Metric | LOW | BASE | HIGH |
|---|---|---|---|
| WACC / Discount Rate | -21.57% | -21.57% | -21.57% |
| Growth Rate | 5.50% | 6.50% | 7.50% |
| Year 1 PV (M) | 236,747.22 | 238,991.27 | 241,235.32 |
| Year 2 PV (M) | 449,107.41 | 457,661.64 | 466,296.58 |
| Year 3 PV (M) | 779,863.26 | 802,250.33 | 825,061.79 |
| Year 4 PV (M) | 1,285,447.48 | 1,334,882.16 | 1,385,729.16 |
| Year 5 PV (M) | 2,047,144.79 | 2,146,022.65 | 2,248,684.80 |
| PV of Terminal Value (M) | 216,713,022.12 | 227,180,342.12 | 238,048,271.10 |
| Equity Value (M) | 221,511,332.28 | 232,160,150.18 | 243,215,278.74 |
| Shares Outstanding (M) | 1,981.03 | 1,981.03 | 1,981.03 |
| Fair Value | $111,815.96 | $117,191.34 | $122,771.83 |
| Upside / Downside | 2,243.17% | 2,355.81% | 2,472.75% |
| Ticker ⇵ | Company ⇵ | Dividend Yield % ▼ | Dividend Per Share ⇵ | Payout Ratio % ⇵ |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ODFL | Old Dominion Freight Line, Inc. | 0.69% | $1.10 | 22.00% |
| RRBI | Red River Bancshares, Inc. | 0.69% | $0.48 | 7.90% |
| SSD | Simpson Manufacturing Co., Inc. | 0.69% | $1.14 | 13.76% |
| WCC | WESCO International, Inc. | 0.69% | $1.75 | 13.38% |
| ALG | Alamo Group Inc. | 0.68% | $1.15 | 11.96% |
| CBK | Commercial Bancgroup, Inc. Common Stock | 0.68% | $0.16 | 6.13% |
| IRMD | IRadimed Corporation | 0.68% | $0.65 | 39.59% |
| UNF | UniFirst Corporation | 0.68% | $1.32 | 16.37% |
| WTS | Watts Water Technologies, Inc. | 0.68% | $1.90 | 19.65% |
| 0HF3.L | Cencora | 0.67% | $2.25 | 28.12% |
| AIT | Applied Industrial Technologies, Inc. | 0.67% | $1.75 | 16.64% |
| CLMB | Climb Global Solutions, Inc. | 0.67% | $0.68 | 14.50% |
| ASTH | Astrana Health, Inc. | 0.66% | $0.17 | 86.52% |
| AVGO | Broadcom Inc. | 0.66% | $2.28 | 48.18% |
| ENS | EnerSys | 0.66% | $0.99 | 11.20% |
| HLIO | Helios Technologies, Inc. | 0.66% | $0.36 | 35.50% |
| ICFI | ICF International, Inc. | 0.66% | $0.56 | 10.52% |
| VMC | Vulcan Materials Company | 0.66% | $1.93 | 22.82% |
| AAME | Atlantic American Corporation | 0.65% | $0.02 | 7.99% |
| AMAT | Applied Materials, Inc. | 0.65% | $1.73 | 19.78% |
| CRM | Salesforce, Inc. | 0.65% | $1.64 | 21.86% |
| GHC | Graham Holdings Company | 0.65% | $7.06 | 4.22% |
| LFAC | LF Capital Acquisition Corp. II | 0.65% | $0.07 | 24.33% |
| BSY | Bentley Systems, Incorporated | 0.64% | $0.25 | 30.41% |
| EHC | Encompass Health Corporation | 0.64% | $0.68 | 12.77% |
| LAD | Lithia Motors, Inc. | 0.64% | $2.13 | 6.25% |
| PRBM | Parabellum Acquisition Corp. | 0.64% | $0.06 | 5.11% |
| VRSN | VeriSign, Inc. | 0.64% | $1.54 | 17.77% |
| AWI | Armstrong World Industries, Inc. | 0.63% | $1.24 | 17.71% |
| ESQ | Esquire Financial Holdings, Inc. | 0.63% | $0.64 | 11.29% |
| SGI | Somnigroup International Inc | 0.63% | $0.56 | 37.60% |
| ULS | UL Solutions Inc. | 0.63% | $0.51 | 30.38% |
| VMI | Valmont Industries, Inc. | 0.63% | $2.58 | 21.97% |
| ARCB | ArcBest Corporation | 0.62% | $0.48 | 11.39% |
| V | Visa Inc. | 0.62% | $2.13 | 23.10% |
| LSXMA | The Liberty SiriusXM Group | 0.61% | $0.14 | 1.73% |
| 0J1R.L | HCA Healthcare, Inc. | 0.60% | $2.81 | 10.70% |
| MPWR | Monolithic Power Systems, Inc. | 0.60% | $5.66 | 14.34% |
| RXN | Zurn Water Solutions Corporation | 0.60% | $0.39 | 24.10% |
| 0I47.L | Costco Wholesale Corporation | 0.59% | $5.05 | 27.04% |
| DJCO | Daily Journal Corporation | 0.59% | $2.95 | 4.20% |
| DRS | Leonardo DRS, Inc. | 0.59% | $0.20 | 20.75% |
| FCNCA | First Citizens BancShares, Inc. | 0.59% | $12.69 | 7.01% |
| AME | AMETEK, Inc. | 0.58% | $1.20 | 19.00% |
| KLAC | KLA Corporation | 0.57% | $7.26 | 22.67% |
| SXI | Standex International Corporation | 0.57% | $1.27 | 29.15% |
| RDVT | Red Violet, Inc. | 0.56% | $0.29 | 37.32% |
| 0IRE.L | Fortive Corporation | 0.55% | $0.30 | 16.72% |
| AIMC | Altra Industrial Motion Corp. | 0.55% | $0.34 | 17.56% |
| BWXT | BWX Technologies, Inc. | 0.55% | $1.00 | 29.87% |