Definitive Analysis
| Stable Growth | $65,590.43 - $160,490.57 | $150,403.16 |
| Multi-Stage | $23,588.44 - $25,805.68 | $24,676.74 |
| Blended Fair Value | $87,539.95 | |
| Current Price | $5,775.00 | |
| Upside | 1,415.84% | |
| Decision | Buy | |
| Metric | 5Y CAGR | 10Y CAGR | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 | 2020 | 2019 | 2018 | 2017 | 2016 | 2015 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DPS | 19.71% | 9.16% | 518.68 | 649.57 | 281.82 | 131.91 | 183.90 | 211.00 | 189.88 | 167.92 | 167.89 | 215.86 |
| YoY Growth | - | - | -20.15% | 130.49% | 113.65% | -28.27% | -12.84% | 11.12% | 13.08% | 0.01% | -22.22% | 0.00% |
| Dividend Yield | - | - | 10.54% | 12.49% | 4.70% | 2.01% | 3.49% | 5.41% | 2.61% | 2.30% | 1.95% | 2.98% |
| Net Income To Common (M) | 32,670,000.00 |
| (-) Cash Dividends Paid (M) | 16,426,000.00 |
| (=) Cash Retained (M) | 16,244,000.00 |
| Metric | LOW | BASE | HIGH |
|---|---|---|---|
| Required Retention Ratio | 20.0% | 12.5% | 7.5% |
| (=) Cash Required (M) | 6,534,000.00 | 4,083,750.00 | 2,450,250.00 |
| Cash Retained (M) | 16,244,000.00 | 16,244,000.00 | 16,244,000.00 |
| (-) Cash Required (M) | -6,534,000.00 | -4,083,750.00 | -2,450,250.00 |
| (=) Excess Retained (M) | 9,710,000.00 | 12,160,250.00 | 13,793,750.00 |
| (/) Shares Outstanding (M) | 40,483.66 | 40,483.66 | 40,483.66 |
| (=) Excess Retained per Share | 239.85 | 300.37 | 340.72 |
| LTM Dividend per Share | 405.74 | 405.74 | 405.74 |
| (+) Excess Retained per Share | 239.85 | 300.37 | 340.72 |
| (=) Adjusted Dividend | 645.59 | 706.12 | 746.47 |
| WACC / Discount Rate | 6.54% | 6.54% | 6.54% |
| Growth Rate | 5.50% | 6.50% | 7.50% |
| Fair Value | $65,590.43 | $150,403.16 | $160,490.57 |
| Upside / Downside | 1,035.77% | 2,504.38% | 2,679.06% |
| Metric | TTM | Dec-27 | Dec-28 | Dec-29 | Dec-30 | Dec-31 | Terminal |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Net Income (M) | 32,670,000.00 | 34,793,550.00 | 37,055,130.75 | 39,463,714.25 | 42,028,855.67 | 44,760,731.29 | 46,103,553.23 |
| Payout Ratio | 50.28% | 58.22% | 66.17% | 74.11% | 82.06% | 90.00% | 92.50% |
| Projected Dividends (M) | 16,426,000.00 | 20,257,791.00 | 24,518,314.98 | 29,247,117.91 | 34,487,075.34 | 40,284,658.16 | 42,645,786.74 |
| Metric | LOW | BASE | HIGH |
|---|---|---|---|
| WACC / Discount Rate | 6.54% | 6.54% | 6.54% |
| Growth Rate | 5.50% | 6.50% | 7.50% |
| Year 1 PV (M) | 18,836,000.94 | 19,014,541.23 | 19,193,081.52 |
| Year 2 PV (M) | 21,197,461.46 | 21,601,213.56 | 22,008,774.65 |
| Year 3 PV (M) | 23,511,098.86 | 24,186,018.01 | 24,873,731.46 |
| Year 4 PV (M) | 25,777,621.03 | 26,768,955.58 | 27,788,611.88 |
| Year 5 PV (M) | 27,997,726.63 | 29,350,027.29 | 30,754,083.69 |
| PV of Terminal Value (M) | 837,626,387.30 | 878,084,055.01 | 920,090,132.89 |
| Equity Value (M) | 954,946,296.21 | 999,004,810.69 | 1,044,708,416.09 |
| Shares Outstanding (M) | 40,483.66 | 40,483.66 | 40,483.66 |
| Fair Value | $23,588.44 | $24,676.74 | $25,805.68 |
| Upside / Downside | 308.46% | 327.30% | 346.85% |
| Ticker ⇵ | Company ⇵ | Dividend Yield % ▼ | Dividend Per Share ⇵ | Payout Ratio % ⇵ |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ODFL | Old Dominion Freight Line, Inc. | 0.69% | $1.10 | 22.00% |
| RRBI | Red River Bancshares, Inc. | 0.69% | $0.48 | 7.90% |
| SSD | Simpson Manufacturing Co., Inc. | 0.69% | $1.14 | 13.76% |
| WCC | WESCO International, Inc. | 0.69% | $1.75 | 13.38% |
| ALG | Alamo Group Inc. | 0.68% | $1.15 | 11.96% |
| CBK | Commercial Bancgroup, Inc. Common Stock | 0.68% | $0.16 | 6.13% |
| IRMD | IRadimed Corporation | 0.68% | $0.65 | 39.59% |
| UNF | UniFirst Corporation | 0.68% | $1.32 | 16.37% |
| WTS | Watts Water Technologies, Inc. | 0.68% | $1.90 | 19.65% |
| 0HF3.L | Cencora | 0.67% | $2.25 | 28.12% |
| AIT | Applied Industrial Technologies, Inc. | 0.67% | $1.75 | 16.64% |
| CLMB | Climb Global Solutions, Inc. | 0.67% | $0.68 | 14.50% |
| ASTH | Astrana Health, Inc. | 0.66% | $0.17 | 86.52% |
| AVGO | Broadcom Inc. | 0.66% | $2.28 | 48.18% |
| ENS | EnerSys | 0.66% | $0.99 | 11.20% |
| HLIO | Helios Technologies, Inc. | 0.66% | $0.36 | 35.50% |
| ICFI | ICF International, Inc. | 0.66% | $0.56 | 10.52% |
| VMC | Vulcan Materials Company | 0.66% | $1.93 | 22.82% |
| AAME | Atlantic American Corporation | 0.65% | $0.02 | 7.99% |
| AMAT | Applied Materials, Inc. | 0.65% | $1.73 | 19.78% |
| CRM | Salesforce, Inc. | 0.65% | $1.64 | 21.86% |
| GHC | Graham Holdings Company | 0.65% | $7.06 | 4.22% |
| LFAC | LF Capital Acquisition Corp. II | 0.65% | $0.07 | 24.33% |
| BSY | Bentley Systems, Incorporated | 0.64% | $0.25 | 30.41% |
| EHC | Encompass Health Corporation | 0.64% | $0.68 | 12.77% |
| LAD | Lithia Motors, Inc. | 0.64% | $2.13 | 6.25% |
| PRBM | Parabellum Acquisition Corp. | 0.64% | $0.06 | 5.11% |
| VRSN | VeriSign, Inc. | 0.64% | $1.54 | 17.77% |
| AWI | Armstrong World Industries, Inc. | 0.63% | $1.24 | 17.71% |
| ESQ | Esquire Financial Holdings, Inc. | 0.63% | $0.64 | 11.29% |
| SGI | Somnigroup International Inc | 0.63% | $0.56 | 37.60% |
| ULS | UL Solutions Inc. | 0.63% | $0.51 | 30.38% |
| VMI | Valmont Industries, Inc. | 0.63% | $2.58 | 21.97% |
| ARCB | ArcBest Corporation | 0.62% | $0.48 | 11.39% |
| V | Visa Inc. | 0.62% | $2.13 | 23.10% |
| LSXMA | The Liberty SiriusXM Group | 0.61% | $0.14 | 1.73% |
| 0J1R.L | HCA Healthcare, Inc. | 0.60% | $2.81 | 10.70% |
| MPWR | Monolithic Power Systems, Inc. | 0.60% | $5.66 | 14.34% |
| RXN | Zurn Water Solutions Corporation | 0.60% | $0.39 | 24.10% |
| 0I47.L | Costco Wholesale Corporation | 0.59% | $5.05 | 27.04% |
| DJCO | Daily Journal Corporation | 0.59% | $2.95 | 4.20% |
| DRS | Leonardo DRS, Inc. | 0.59% | $0.20 | 20.75% |
| FCNCA | First Citizens BancShares, Inc. | 0.59% | $12.69 | 7.01% |
| AME | AMETEK, Inc. | 0.58% | $1.20 | 19.00% |
| KLAC | KLA Corporation | 0.57% | $7.26 | 22.67% |
| SXI | Standex International Corporation | 0.57% | $1.27 | 29.15% |
| RDVT | Red Violet, Inc. | 0.56% | $0.29 | 37.32% |
| 0IRE.L | Fortive Corporation | 0.55% | $0.30 | 16.72% |
| AIMC | Altra Industrial Motion Corp. | 0.55% | $0.34 | 17.56% |
| BWXT | BWX Technologies, Inc. | 0.55% | $1.00 | 29.87% |