Definitive Analysis
| Stable Growth | $1,870,604.27 - $6,053,133.25 | $5,672,672.33 |
| Multi-Stage | $787,955.95 - $862,923.81 | $824,749.74 |
| Blended Fair Value | $3,248,711.04 | |
| Current Price | $145,000.00 | |
| Upside | 2,140.49% | |
| Decision | Buy | |
| Metric | 5Y CAGR | 10Y CAGR | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 | 2020 | 2019 | 2018 | 2017 | 2016 | 2015 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DPS | 8.02% | 29.13% | 2,655.57 | 2,305.62 | 6,155.06 | 3,005.52 | 2,905.54 | 1,805.89 | 1,605.90 | 805.86 | 1,005.79 | 705.93 |
| YoY Growth | - | - | 15.18% | -62.54% | 104.79% | 3.44% | 60.89% | 12.45% | 99.28% | -19.88% | 42.48% | 242.77% |
| Dividend Yield | - | - | 3.64% | 3.45% | 11.19% | 3.83% | 3.39% | 3.63% | 2.52% | 0.97% | 2.14% | 1.61% |
| Net Income To Common (M) | 1,777,482.98 |
| (-) Cash Dividends Paid (M) | 232,740.00 |
| (=) Cash Retained (M) | 1,544,742.98 |
| Metric | LOW | BASE | HIGH |
|---|---|---|---|
| Required Retention Ratio | 20.0% | 12.5% | 7.5% |
| (=) Cash Required (M) | 355,496.60 | 222,185.37 | 133,311.22 |
| Cash Retained (M) | 1,544,742.98 | 1,544,742.98 | 1,544,742.98 |
| (-) Cash Required (M) | -355,496.60 | -222,185.37 | -133,311.22 |
| (=) Excess Retained (M) | 1,189,246.39 | 1,322,557.61 | 1,411,431.76 |
| (/) Shares Outstanding (M) | 58.40 | 58.40 | 58.40 |
| (=) Excess Retained per Share | 20,364.16 | 22,646.92 | 24,168.77 |
| LTM Dividend per Share | 3,985.34 | 3,985.34 | 3,985.34 |
| (+) Excess Retained per Share | 20,364.16 | 22,646.92 | 24,168.77 |
| (=) Adjusted Dividend | 24,349.50 | 26,632.26 | 28,154.11 |
| WACC / Discount Rate | 6.87% | 6.87% | 6.87% |
| Growth Rate | 5.50% | 6.50% | 7.50% |
| Fair Value | $1,870,604.27 | $5,672,672.33 | $6,053,133.25 |
| Upside / Downside | 1,190.07% | 3,812.19% | 4,074.57% |
| Metric | TTM | Dec-27 | Dec-28 | Dec-29 | Dec-30 | Dec-31 | Terminal |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Net Income (M) | 1,777,482.98 | 1,893,019.38 | 2,016,065.64 | 2,147,109.91 | 2,286,672.05 | 2,435,305.73 | 2,508,364.90 |
| Payout Ratio | 13.09% | 28.48% | 43.86% | 59.24% | 74.62% | 90.00% | 92.50% |
| Projected Dividends (M) | 232,740.00 | 539,037.97 | 884,171.35 | 1,271,894.63 | 1,706,286.31 | 2,191,775.16 | 2,320,237.54 |
| Metric | LOW | BASE | HIGH |
|---|---|---|---|
| WACC / Discount Rate | 6.87% | 6.87% | 6.87% |
| Growth Rate | 5.50% | 6.50% | 7.50% |
| Year 1 PV (M) | 499,635.23 | 504,371.11 | 509,106.99 |
| Year 2 PV (M) | 759,633.00 | 774,101.88 | 788,707.25 |
| Year 3 PV (M) | 1,012,866.52 | 1,041,942.28 | 1,071,569.22 |
| Year 4 PV (M) | 1,259,466.69 | 1,307,902.22 | 1,357,721.53 |
| Year 5 PV (M) | 1,499,562.16 | 1,571,991.58 | 1,647,193.03 |
| PV of Terminal Value (M) | 40,984,675.99 | 42,964,251.16 | 45,019,589.34 |
| Equity Value (M) | 46,015,839.59 | 48,164,560.23 | 50,393,887.36 |
| Shares Outstanding (M) | 58.40 | 58.40 | 58.40 |
| Fair Value | $787,955.95 | $824,749.74 | $862,923.81 |
| Upside / Downside | 443.42% | 468.79% | 495.12% |
| Ticker ⇵ | Company ⇵ | Dividend Yield % ▼ | Dividend Per Share ⇵ | Payout Ratio % ⇵ |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ODFL | Old Dominion Freight Line, Inc. | 0.69% | $1.10 | 22.00% |
| RRBI | Red River Bancshares, Inc. | 0.69% | $0.48 | 7.90% |
| SSD | Simpson Manufacturing Co., Inc. | 0.69% | $1.14 | 13.76% |
| WCC | WESCO International, Inc. | 0.69% | $1.75 | 13.38% |
| ALG | Alamo Group Inc. | 0.68% | $1.15 | 11.96% |
| CBK | Commercial Bancgroup, Inc. Common Stock | 0.68% | $0.16 | 6.13% |
| IRMD | IRadimed Corporation | 0.68% | $0.65 | 39.59% |
| UNF | UniFirst Corporation | 0.68% | $1.32 | 16.37% |
| WTS | Watts Water Technologies, Inc. | 0.68% | $1.90 | 19.65% |
| 0HF3.L | Cencora | 0.67% | $2.25 | 28.12% |
| AIT | Applied Industrial Technologies, Inc. | 0.67% | $1.75 | 16.64% |
| CLMB | Climb Global Solutions, Inc. | 0.67% | $0.68 | 14.50% |
| ASTH | Astrana Health, Inc. | 0.66% | $0.17 | 86.52% |
| AVGO | Broadcom Inc. | 0.66% | $2.28 | 48.18% |
| ENS | EnerSys | 0.66% | $0.99 | 11.20% |
| HLIO | Helios Technologies, Inc. | 0.66% | $0.36 | 35.50% |
| ICFI | ICF International, Inc. | 0.66% | $0.56 | 10.52% |
| VMC | Vulcan Materials Company | 0.66% | $1.93 | 22.82% |
| AAME | Atlantic American Corporation | 0.65% | $0.02 | 7.99% |
| AMAT | Applied Materials, Inc. | 0.65% | $1.73 | 19.78% |
| CRM | Salesforce, Inc. | 0.65% | $1.64 | 21.86% |
| GHC | Graham Holdings Company | 0.65% | $7.06 | 4.22% |
| LFAC | LF Capital Acquisition Corp. II | 0.65% | $0.07 | 24.33% |
| BSY | Bentley Systems, Incorporated | 0.64% | $0.25 | 30.41% |
| EHC | Encompass Health Corporation | 0.64% | $0.68 | 12.77% |
| LAD | Lithia Motors, Inc. | 0.64% | $2.13 | 6.25% |
| PRBM | Parabellum Acquisition Corp. | 0.64% | $0.06 | 5.11% |
| VRSN | VeriSign, Inc. | 0.64% | $1.54 | 17.77% |
| AWI | Armstrong World Industries, Inc. | 0.63% | $1.24 | 17.71% |
| ESQ | Esquire Financial Holdings, Inc. | 0.63% | $0.64 | 11.29% |
| SGI | Somnigroup International Inc | 0.63% | $0.56 | 37.60% |
| ULS | UL Solutions Inc. | 0.63% | $0.51 | 30.38% |
| VMI | Valmont Industries, Inc. | 0.63% | $2.58 | 21.97% |
| ARCB | ArcBest Corporation | 0.62% | $0.48 | 11.39% |
| V | Visa Inc. | 0.62% | $2.13 | 23.10% |
| LSXMA | The Liberty SiriusXM Group | 0.61% | $0.14 | 1.73% |
| 0J1R.L | HCA Healthcare, Inc. | 0.60% | $2.81 | 10.70% |
| MPWR | Monolithic Power Systems, Inc. | 0.60% | $5.66 | 14.34% |
| RXN | Zurn Water Solutions Corporation | 0.60% | $0.39 | 24.10% |
| 0I47.L | Costco Wholesale Corporation | 0.59% | $5.05 | 27.04% |
| DJCO | Daily Journal Corporation | 0.59% | $2.95 | 4.20% |
| DRS | Leonardo DRS, Inc. | 0.59% | $0.20 | 20.75% |
| FCNCA | First Citizens BancShares, Inc. | 0.59% | $12.69 | 7.01% |
| AME | AMETEK, Inc. | 0.58% | $1.20 | 19.00% |
| KLAC | KLA Corporation | 0.57% | $7.26 | 22.67% |
| SXI | Standex International Corporation | 0.57% | $1.27 | 29.15% |
| RDVT | Red Violet, Inc. | 0.56% | $0.29 | 37.32% |
| 0IRE.L | Fortive Corporation | 0.55% | $0.30 | 16.72% |
| AIMC | Altra Industrial Motion Corp. | 0.55% | $0.34 | 17.56% |
| BWXT | BWX Technologies, Inc. | 0.55% | $1.00 | 29.87% |