Definitive Analysis
| Stable Growth | $1,497,389.07 - $5,272,633.59 | $4,941,229.85 |
| Multi-Stage | $670,661.10 - $734,032.98 | $701,765.42 |
| Blended Fair Value | $2,821,497.63 | |
| Current Price | $138,500.00 | |
| Upside | 1,937.18% | |
| Decision | Buy | |
| Metric | 5Y CAGR | 10Y CAGR | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 | 2020 | 2019 | 2018 | 2017 | 2016 | 2015 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DPS | 20.45% | 16.82% | 5,319.83 | 4,631.37 | 3,604.16 | 2,231.24 | 1,697.16 | 2,098.44 | 2,438.36 | 1,811.45 | 1,702.53 | 1,597.30 |
| YoY Growth | - | - | 14.87% | 28.50% | 61.53% | 31.47% | -19.12% | -13.94% | 34.61% | 6.40% | 6.59% | 42.14% |
| Dividend Yield | - | - | 6.00% | 4.97% | 4.81% | 3.19% | 3.59% | 6.04% | 3.51% | 2.79% | 2.66% | 2.10% |
| Net Income To Common (M) | 1,594,728.08 |
| (-) Cash Dividends Paid (M) | 409,176.00 |
| (=) Cash Retained (M) | 1,185,552.08 |
| Metric | LOW | BASE | HIGH |
|---|---|---|---|
| Required Retention Ratio | 20.0% | 12.5% | 7.5% |
| (=) Cash Required (M) | 318,945.62 | 199,341.01 | 119,604.61 |
| Cash Retained (M) | 1,185,552.08 | 1,185,552.08 | 1,185,552.08 |
| (-) Cash Required (M) | -318,945.62 | -199,341.01 | -119,604.61 |
| (=) Excess Retained (M) | 866,606.46 | 986,211.07 | 1,065,947.47 |
| (/) Shares Outstanding (M) | 60.15 | 60.15 | 60.15 |
| (=) Excess Retained per Share | 14,407.30 | 16,395.73 | 17,721.34 |
| LTM Dividend per Share | 6,802.54 | 6,802.54 | 6,802.54 |
| (+) Excess Retained per Share | 14,407.30 | 16,395.73 | 17,721.34 |
| (=) Adjusted Dividend | 21,209.84 | 23,198.26 | 24,523.88 |
| WACC / Discount Rate | 6.99% | 6.99% | 6.99% |
| Growth Rate | 5.50% | 6.50% | 7.50% |
| Fair Value | $1,497,389.07 | $4,941,229.85 | $5,272,633.59 |
| Upside / Downside | 981.15% | 3,467.67% | 3,706.96% |
| Metric | TTM | Dec-27 | Dec-28 | Dec-29 | Dec-30 | Dec-31 | Terminal |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Net Income (M) | 1,594,728.08 | 1,698,385.40 | 1,808,780.46 | 1,926,351.19 | 2,051,564.01 | 2,184,915.67 | 2,250,463.14 |
| Payout Ratio | 25.66% | 38.53% | 51.39% | 64.26% | 77.13% | 90.00% | 92.50% |
| Projected Dividends (M) | 409,176.00 | 654,327.32 | 929,619.55 | 1,237,935.24 | 1,582,404.32 | 1,966,424.11 | 2,081,678.41 |
| Metric | LOW | BASE | HIGH |
|---|---|---|---|
| WACC / Discount Rate | 6.99% | 6.99% | 6.99% |
| Growth Rate | 5.50% | 6.50% | 7.50% |
| Year 1 PV (M) | 605,810.82 | 611,553.10 | 617,295.38 |
| Year 2 PV (M) | 796,873.13 | 812,051.33 | 827,372.71 |
| Year 3 PV (M) | 982,480.25 | 1,010,683.72 | 1,039,421.85 |
| Year 4 PV (M) | 1,162,747.27 | 1,207,463.25 | 1,253,456.73 |
| Year 5 PV (M) | 1,337,787.17 | 1,402,402.79 | 1,469,491.40 |
| PV of Terminal Value (M) | 35,454,901.86 | 37,167,386.88 | 38,945,412.73 |
| Equity Value (M) | 40,340,600.49 | 42,211,541.06 | 44,152,450.80 |
| Shares Outstanding (M) | 60.15 | 60.15 | 60.15 |
| Fair Value | $670,661.10 | $701,765.42 | $734,032.98 |
| Upside / Downside | 384.23% | 406.69% | 429.99% |
| Ticker ⇵ | Company ⇵ | Dividend Yield % ▼ | Dividend Per Share ⇵ | Payout Ratio % ⇵ |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ODFL | Old Dominion Freight Line, Inc. | 0.69% | $1.10 | 22.00% |
| RRBI | Red River Bancshares, Inc. | 0.69% | $0.48 | 7.90% |
| SSD | Simpson Manufacturing Co., Inc. | 0.69% | $1.14 | 13.76% |
| WCC | WESCO International, Inc. | 0.69% | $1.75 | 13.38% |
| ALG | Alamo Group Inc. | 0.68% | $1.15 | 11.96% |
| CBK | Commercial Bancgroup, Inc. Common Stock | 0.68% | $0.16 | 6.13% |
| IRMD | IRadimed Corporation | 0.68% | $0.65 | 39.59% |
| UNF | UniFirst Corporation | 0.68% | $1.32 | 16.37% |
| WTS | Watts Water Technologies, Inc. | 0.68% | $1.90 | 19.65% |
| 0HF3.L | Cencora | 0.67% | $2.25 | 28.12% |
| AIT | Applied Industrial Technologies, Inc. | 0.67% | $1.75 | 16.64% |
| CLMB | Climb Global Solutions, Inc. | 0.67% | $0.68 | 14.50% |
| ASTH | Astrana Health, Inc. | 0.66% | $0.17 | 86.52% |
| AVGO | Broadcom Inc. | 0.66% | $2.28 | 48.18% |
| ENS | EnerSys | 0.66% | $0.99 | 11.20% |
| HLIO | Helios Technologies, Inc. | 0.66% | $0.36 | 35.50% |
| ICFI | ICF International, Inc. | 0.66% | $0.56 | 10.52% |
| VMC | Vulcan Materials Company | 0.66% | $1.93 | 22.82% |
| AAME | Atlantic American Corporation | 0.65% | $0.02 | 7.99% |
| AMAT | Applied Materials, Inc. | 0.65% | $1.73 | 19.78% |
| CRM | Salesforce, Inc. | 0.65% | $1.64 | 21.86% |
| GHC | Graham Holdings Company | 0.65% | $7.06 | 4.22% |
| LFAC | LF Capital Acquisition Corp. II | 0.65% | $0.07 | 24.33% |
| BSY | Bentley Systems, Incorporated | 0.64% | $0.25 | 30.41% |
| EHC | Encompass Health Corporation | 0.64% | $0.68 | 12.77% |
| LAD | Lithia Motors, Inc. | 0.64% | $2.13 | 6.25% |
| PRBM | Parabellum Acquisition Corp. | 0.64% | $0.06 | 5.11% |
| VRSN | VeriSign, Inc. | 0.64% | $1.54 | 17.77% |
| AWI | Armstrong World Industries, Inc. | 0.63% | $1.24 | 17.71% |
| ESQ | Esquire Financial Holdings, Inc. | 0.63% | $0.64 | 11.29% |
| SGI | Somnigroup International Inc | 0.63% | $0.56 | 37.60% |
| ULS | UL Solutions Inc. | 0.63% | $0.51 | 30.38% |
| VMI | Valmont Industries, Inc. | 0.63% | $2.58 | 21.97% |
| ARCB | ArcBest Corporation | 0.62% | $0.48 | 11.39% |
| V | Visa Inc. | 0.62% | $2.13 | 23.10% |
| LSXMA | The Liberty SiriusXM Group | 0.61% | $0.14 | 1.73% |
| 0J1R.L | HCA Healthcare, Inc. | 0.60% | $2.81 | 10.70% |
| MPWR | Monolithic Power Systems, Inc. | 0.60% | $5.66 | 14.34% |
| RXN | Zurn Water Solutions Corporation | 0.60% | $0.39 | 24.10% |
| 0I47.L | Costco Wholesale Corporation | 0.59% | $5.05 | 27.04% |
| DJCO | Daily Journal Corporation | 0.59% | $2.95 | 4.20% |
| DRS | Leonardo DRS, Inc. | 0.59% | $0.20 | 20.75% |
| FCNCA | First Citizens BancShares, Inc. | 0.59% | $12.69 | 7.01% |
| AME | AMETEK, Inc. | 0.58% | $1.20 | 19.00% |
| KLAC | KLA Corporation | 0.57% | $7.26 | 22.67% |
| SXI | Standex International Corporation | 0.57% | $1.27 | 29.15% |
| RDVT | Red Violet, Inc. | 0.56% | $0.29 | 37.32% |
| 0IRE.L | Fortive Corporation | 0.55% | $0.30 | 16.72% |
| AIMC | Altra Industrial Motion Corp. | 0.55% | $0.34 | 17.56% |
| BWXT | BWX Technologies, Inc. | 0.55% | $1.00 | 29.87% |