Definitive Analysis
Definitive Analysis

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Sector

Sony Group Corporation (SONYN.MX)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Sector:

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$4,542.51 - $12,050.03$6,945.97
Multi-Stage$3,058.58 - $3,344.51$3,198.94
Blended Fair Value$5,072.46
Current Price$4,273.58
Upside18.69%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2025202420232022202120202019201820172016
DPS18.38%24.23%19.0716.3214.3212.3010.148.206.304.714.192.11
YoY Growth--16.87%13.92%16.45%21.30%23.63%30.23%33.62%12.60%98.42%-3.11%
Dividend Yield--0.52%0.60%0.55%0.55%0.46%0.55%0.54%0.43%0.49%0.35%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)1,170,343.00
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)120,531.00
(=) Cash Retained (M)1,049,812.00
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)234,068.60146,292.8887,775.73
Cash Retained (M)1,049,812.001,049,812.001,049,812.00
(-) Cash Required (M)-234,068.60-146,292.88-87,775.73
(=) Excess Retained (M)815,743.40903,519.13962,036.28
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)6,043.646,043.646,043.64
(=) Excess Retained per Share134.98149.50159.18
LTM Dividend per Share19.9419.9419.94
(+) Excess Retained per Share134.98149.50159.18
(=) Adjusted Dividend154.92169.44179.13
WACC / Discount Rate9.10%9.10%9.10%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$4,542.51$6,945.97$12,050.03
Upside / Downside6.29%62.53%181.97%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)1,170,343.001,246,415.301,327,432.291,413,715.391,505,606.891,603,471.341,651,575.48
Payout Ratio10.30%26.24%42.18%58.12%74.06%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)120,531.00327,047.17559,901.19821,644.461,115,048.771,443,124.201,527,707.32

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate9.10%9.10%9.10%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)296,958.97299,773.75302,588.53
Year 2 PV (M)461,618.83470,411.37479,286.86
Year 3 PV (M)615,094.89632,752.05650,743.94
Year 4 PV (M)757,945.74787,094.19817,075.40
Year 5 PV (M)890,705.27933,726.67978,394.60
PV of Terminal Value (M)15,462,618.8916,209,469.1716,984,903.16
Equity Value (M)18,484,942.6019,333,227.2120,212,992.48
Shares Outstanding (M)6,043.646,043.646,043.64
Fair Value$3,058.58$3,198.94$3,344.51
Upside / Downside-28.43%-25.15%-21.74%

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