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Definitive Analysis

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Sun Life Financial Inc. (SLF)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Insurance - DiversifiedSector: Financial Services

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$117.02 - $291.02$175.36
Multi-Stage$136.33 - $149.33$142.71
Blended Fair Value$159.03
Current Price$83.56
Upside90.32%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS8.28%8.27%3.432.482.922.501.872.302.142.021.881.61
YoY Growth--38.17%-15.02%17.02%33.77%-19.01%7.42%6.23%7.54%16.61%3.95%
Dividend Yield--4.16%3.40%4.63%3.58%2.94%5.11%4.10%3.81%3.86%3.84%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)3,094.00
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)2,029.00
(=) Cash Retained (M)1,065.00
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)618.80386.75232.05
Cash Retained (M)1,065.001,065.001,065.00
(-) Cash Required (M)-618.80-386.75-232.05
(=) Excess Retained (M)446.20678.25832.95
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)572.25572.25572.25
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.781.191.46
LTM Dividend per Share3.553.553.55
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.781.191.46
(=) Adjusted Dividend4.334.735.00
WACC / Discount Rate6.67%6.67%6.67%
Growth Rate2.87%3.87%4.87%
Fair Value$117.02$175.36$291.02
Upside / Downside40.05%109.86%248.27%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)3,094.003,213.793,338.233,467.473,601.733,741.183,853.42
Payout Ratio65.58%70.46%75.35%80.23%85.12%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)2,029.002,264.532,515.262,782.003,065.643,367.063,564.41

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.67%6.67%6.67%
Growth Rate2.87%3.87%4.87%
Year 1 PV (M)2,102.412,122.852,143.29
Year 2 PV (M)2,168.012,210.372,253.13
Year 3 PV (M)2,226.272,291.822,358.65
Year 4 PV (M)2,277.612,367.472,459.97
Year 5 PV (M)2,322.472,437.572,557.19
PV of Terminal Value (M)66,917.5370,233.8673,680.38
Equity Value (M)78,014.3181,663.9485,452.60
Shares Outstanding (M)572.25572.25572.25
Fair Value$136.33$142.71$149.33
Upside / Downside63.15%70.78%78.71%

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