DDM Analysis: SKF-A.ST

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth	$173.27 - $340.46	$239.22
Multi-Stage	$277.13 - $303.94	$290.28
Blended Fair Value	$264.75
Current Price	$235.00
Upside	12.66%
Decision	Don't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric	5Y CAGR	10Y CAGR	2024	2023	2022	2021	2020	2019	2018	2017	2016	2015
DPS	7.01%	4.35%	8.42	7.00	7.00	6.50	3.00	6.00	5.76	5.75	5.79	5.72
YoY Growth	-	-	20.24%	0.00%	7.67%	116.69%	-49.98%	4.20%	0.11%	-0.65%	1.15%	4.03%
Dividend Yield	-	-	4.18%	3.16%	3.42%	3.71%	1.21%	4.38%	3.58%	3.35%	3.27%	3.88%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)

Net Income To Common (M)	4,866.00
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)	3,612.00
(=) Cash Retained (M)	1,254.00

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
Required Retention Ratio	20.0%	12.5%	7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)	973.20	608.25	364.95
Cash Retained (M)	1,254.00	1,254.00	1,254.00
(-) Cash Required (M)	-973.20	-608.25	-364.95
(=) Excess Retained (M)	280.80	645.75	889.05
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)	455.35	455.35	455.35
(=) Excess Retained per Share	0.62	1.42	1.95
LTM Dividend per Share	7.93	7.93	7.93
(+) Excess Retained per Share	0.62	1.42	1.95
(=) Adjusted Dividend	8.55	9.35	9.88
WACC / Discount Rate	6.36%	6.36%	6.36%
Growth Rate	1.35%	2.35%	3.35%
Fair Value	$173.27	$239.22	$340.46
Upside / Downside	-26.27%	1.80%	44.88%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)

Metric	TTM	Dec-27	Dec-28	Dec-29	Dec-30	Dec-31	Terminal
Net Income (M)	4,866.00	4,980.59	5,097.87	5,217.92	5,340.79	5,466.56	5,630.56
Payout Ratio	74.23%	77.38%	80.54%	83.69%	86.85%	90.00%	92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)	3,612.00	3,854.15	4,105.70	4,366.97	4,638.26	4,919.90	5,208.27

Multi-Stage Valuation

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
WACC / Discount Rate	6.36%	6.36%	6.36%
Growth Rate	1.35%	2.35%	3.35%
Year 1 PV (M)	3,588.43	3,623.83	3,659.24
Year 2 PV (M)	3,559.09	3,629.67	3,700.94
Year 3 PV (M)	3,524.57	3,629.93	3,737.37
Year 4 PV (M)	3,485.44	3,625.04	3,768.80
Year 5 PV (M)	3,442.19	3,615.38	3,795.48
PV of Terminal Value (M)	108,591.53	114,055.28	119,736.78
Equity Value (M)	126,191.25	132,179.14	138,398.59
Shares Outstanding (M)	455.35	455.35	455.35
Fair Value	$277.13	$290.28	$303.94
Upside / Downside	17.93%	23.52%	29.34%

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AB SKF (publ) (SKF-A.ST)

Valuation Snapshot

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

Multi-Stage Valuation

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