Definitive Analysis
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Zurn Water Solutions Corporation (RXN)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Regulated WaterSector: Utilities

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$10.11 - $14.20$12.14
Multi-Stage$14.68 - $16.10$15.38
Blended Fair Value$13.76
Current Price$64.95
Upside-78.81%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202020192018201720162015201420132012
DPS0.00%0.00%0.330.160.140.140.030.000.000.000.000.00
YoY Growth--108.09%17.24%0.00%427.27%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--0.51%0.70%0.45%0.46%0.11%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)277.20
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)66.80
(=) Cash Retained (M)210.40
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)55.4434.6520.79
Cash Retained (M)210.40210.40210.40
(-) Cash Required (M)-55.44-34.65-20.79
(=) Excess Retained (M)154.96175.75189.61
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)171.80171.80171.80
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.901.021.10
LTM Dividend per Share0.390.390.39
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.901.021.10
(=) Adjusted Dividend1.291.411.49
WACC / Discount Rate10.51%10.51%10.51%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Fair Value$10.11$12.14$14.20
Upside / Downside-84.43%-81.30%-78.14%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)277.20274.43271.68268.97266.28263.61271.52
Payout Ratio24.10%37.28%50.46%63.64%76.82%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)66.80102.30137.09171.17204.55237.25251.16

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate10.51%10.51%10.51%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Year 1 PV (M)91.6492.5793.51
Year 2 PV (M)110.00112.25114.53
Year 3 PV (M)123.03126.83130.71
Year 4 PV (M)131.70137.15142.78
Year 5 PV (M)136.83143.95151.37
PV of Terminal Value (M)1,928.832,029.272,133.85
Equity Value (M)2,522.022,642.032,766.76
Shares Outstanding (M)171.80171.80171.80
Fair Value$14.68$15.38$16.10
Upside / Downside-77.40%-76.32%-75.20%

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