Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Perenti Limited (PRN.AX)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Industrial MaterialsSector: Basic Materials

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$11.24 - $44.63$30.55
Multi-Stage$5.46 - $5.98$5.71
Blended Fair Value$18.13
Current Price$1.62
Upside1,019.19%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2025202420232022202120202019201820172016
DPS24.71%22.70%0.080.020.000.010.070.020.040.020.010.00
YoY Growth--279.12%4,293.56%-96.92%-77.78%164.30%-43.62%114.57%217.88%0.00%-100.00%
Dividend Yield--4.65%1.97%0.04%2.24%9.84%2.15%2.40%1.12%0.35%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)216.09
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)84.82
(=) Cash Retained (M)131.27
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)43.2227.0116.21
Cash Retained (M)131.27131.27131.27
(-) Cash Required (M)-43.22-27.01-16.21
(=) Excess Retained (M)88.06104.26115.07
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)962.82962.82962.82
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.090.110.12
LTM Dividend per Share0.090.090.09
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.090.110.12
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.180.200.21
WACC / Discount Rate7.18%7.18%7.18%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$11.24$30.55$44.63
Upside / Downside594.07%1,785.62%2,655.21%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)216.09230.14245.10261.03277.99296.06304.95
Payout Ratio39.25%49.40%59.55%69.70%79.85%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)84.82113.69145.96181.94221.98266.46282.07

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate7.18%7.18%7.18%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)105.07106.07107.06
Year 2 PV (M)124.67127.04129.44
Year 3 PV (M)143.63147.75151.95
Year 4 PV (M)161.95168.18174.59
Year 5 PV (M)179.67188.35197.36
PV of Terminal Value (M)4,545.214,764.744,992.68
Equity Value (M)5,260.205,502.145,753.08
Shares Outstanding (M)962.82962.82962.82
Fair Value$5.46$5.71$5.98
Upside / Downside237.24%252.75%268.84%

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