DDM Analysis: OTP.BD

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth	$227,675.15 - $823,458.49	$721,311.59
Multi-Stage	$102,626.58 - $112,376.20	$107,411.71
Blended Fair Value	$414,361.65
Current Price	$27,100.00
Upside	1,429.01%
Decision	Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric	5Y CAGR	10Y CAGR	2024	2023	2022	2021	2020	2019	2018	2017	2016	2015
DPS	18.46%	13.42%	547.70	306.93	444.73	0.04	0.04	234.75	234.20	203.67	176.72	154.97
YoY Growth	-	-	78.44%	-30.98%	1,161,370.00%	0.00%	-99.98%	0.23%	14.99%	15.25%	14.03%	-0.30%
Dividend Yield	-	-	2.19%	1.81%	4.46%	0.00%	0.00%	2.47%	1.83%	1.78%	2.18%	2.24%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)

Net Income To Common (M)	1,081,363.00
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)	143,038.00
(=) Cash Retained (M)	938,325.00

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
Required Retention Ratio	20.0%	12.5%	7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)	216,272.60	135,170.38	81,102.23
Cash Retained (M)	938,325.00	938,325.00	938,325.00
(-) Cash Required (M)	-216,272.60	-135,170.38	-81,102.23
(=) Excess Retained (M)	722,052.40	803,154.63	857,222.78
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)	261.16	261.16	261.16
(=) Excess Retained per Share	2,764.77	3,075.31	3,282.34
LTM Dividend per Share	547.70	547.70	547.70
(+) Excess Retained per Share	2,764.77	3,075.31	3,282.34
(=) Adjusted Dividend	3,312.47	3,623.01	3,830.04
WACC / Discount Rate	7.03%	7.03%	7.03%
Growth Rate	5.50%	6.50%	7.50%
Fair Value	$227,675.15	$721,311.59	$823,458.49
Upside / Downside	740.13%	2,561.67%	2,938.59%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)

Metric	TTM	Dec-27	Dec-28	Dec-29	Dec-30	Dec-31	Terminal
Net Income (M)	1,081,363.00	1,151,651.60	1,226,508.95	1,306,232.03	1,391,137.11	1,481,561.02	1,526,007.86
Payout Ratio	13.23%	28.58%	43.94%	59.29%	74.65%	90.00%	92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)	143,038.00	329,165.66	538,885.59	774,478.38	1,038,421.44	1,333,404.92	1,411,557.27

Multi-Stage Valuation

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
WACC / Discount Rate	7.03%	7.03%	7.03%
Growth Rate	5.50%	6.50%	7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)	304,643.45	307,531.07	310,418.69
Year 2 PV (M)	461,584.50	470,376.39	479,251.22
Year 3 PV (M)	613,961.69	631,586.33	649,545.07
Year 4 PV (M)	761,873.64	791,173.15	821,309.73
Year 5 PV (M)	905,417.08	949,149.06	994,554.77
PV of Terminal Value (M)	23,754,681.81	24,902,041.83	26,093,314.01
Equity Value (M)	26,802,162.18	28,051,857.83	29,348,393.48
Shares Outstanding (M)	261.16	261.16	261.16
Fair Value	$102,626.58	$107,411.71	$112,376.20
Upside / Downside	278.70%	296.35%	314.67%

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OTP Bank Nyrt. (OTP.BD)

Valuation Snapshot

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

Multi-Stage Valuation

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