DDM Analysis: MND.AX

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth	$135.20 - $293.01	$274.60
Multi-Stage	$45.25 - $49.47	$47.32
Blended Fair Value	$160.96
Current Price	$17.56
Upside	816.62%
Decision	Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric	5Y CAGR	10Y CAGR	2025	2024	2023	2022	2021	2020	2019	2018	2017	2016
DPS	8.04%	-4.46%	0.62	0.45	0.42	0.40	0.34	0.42	0.53	0.54	0.51	0.66
YoY Growth	-	-	38.37%	4.96%	6.74%	16.91%	-18.77%	-21.07%	-1.92%	6.72%	-23.54%	-31.83%
Dividend Yield	-	-	3.51%	3.41%	3.63%	4.00%	3.26%	3.87%	2.80%	3.60%	3.63%	8.90%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)

Net Income To Common (M)	145.92
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)	105.30
(=) Cash Retained (M)	40.63

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
Required Retention Ratio	20.0%	12.5%	7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)	29.18	18.24	10.94
Cash Retained (M)	40.63	40.63	40.63
(-) Cash Required (M)	-29.18	-18.24	-10.94
(=) Excess Retained (M)	11.44	22.39	29.68
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)	99.04	99.04	99.04
(=) Excess Retained per Share	0.12	0.23	0.30
LTM Dividend per Share	1.06	1.06	1.06
(+) Excess Retained per Share	0.12	0.23	0.30
(=) Adjusted Dividend	1.18	1.29	1.36
WACC / Discount Rate	6.42%	6.42%	6.42%
Growth Rate	5.50%	6.50%	7.50%
Fair Value	$135.20	$274.60	$293.01
Upside / Downside	669.93%	1,463.76%	1,568.64%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)

Metric	TTM	Dec-27	Dec-28	Dec-29	Dec-30	Dec-31	Terminal
Net Income (M)	145.92	155.41	165.51	176.27	187.73	199.93	205.93
Payout Ratio	72.16%	75.73%	79.29%	82.86%	86.43%	90.00%	92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)	105.30	117.69	131.24	146.06	162.25	179.94	190.48

Multi-Stage Valuation

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
WACC / Discount Rate	6.42%	6.42%	6.42%
Growth Rate	5.50%	6.50%	7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)	109.55	110.59	111.62
Year 2 PV (M)	113.72	115.88	118.07
Year 3 PV (M)	117.81	121.19	124.64
Year 4 PV (M)	121.82	126.51	131.32
Year 5 PV (M)	125.75	131.83	138.13
PV of Terminal Value (M)	3,892.80	4,080.82	4,276.04
Equity Value (M)	4,481.45	4,686.82	4,899.83
Shares Outstanding (M)	99.04	99.04	99.04
Fair Value	$45.25	$47.32	$49.47
Upside / Downside	157.68%	169.48%	181.73%

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Monadelphous Group Limited (MND.AX)

Valuation Snapshot

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

Multi-Stage Valuation

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