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Definitive Analysis

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Global Power Synergy Public Company Limited (GPSC-R.BK)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Regulated ElectricSector: Utilities

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$77.02 - $343.60$180.30
Multi-Stage$52.45 - $57.44$54.90
Blended Fair Value$117.60
Current Price$29.25
Upside302.05%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS-0.93%36.42%0.890.601.201.501.300.930.660.610.560.40
YoY Growth--48.33%-50.00%-20.00%15.38%39.39%40.41%8.70%9.52%40.47%896.67%
Dividend Yield--3.32%1.14%1.76%2.07%1.69%1.63%1.28%0.90%1.85%1.70%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)4,929.12
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)2,537.76
(=) Cash Retained (M)2,391.36
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)985.82616.14369.68
Cash Retained (M)2,391.362,391.362,391.36
(-) Cash Required (M)-985.82-616.14-369.68
(=) Excess Retained (M)1,405.541,775.222,021.68
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)2,823.522,823.522,823.52
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.500.630.72
LTM Dividend per Share0.900.900.90
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.500.630.72
(=) Adjusted Dividend1.401.531.61
WACC / Discount Rate6.28%6.28%6.28%
Growth Rate4.39%5.39%6.39%
Fair Value$77.02$180.30$343.60
Upside / Downside163.32%516.42%1,074.71%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)4,929.125,194.845,474.885,770.026,081.076,408.896,601.15
Payout Ratio51.48%59.19%66.89%74.59%82.30%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)2,537.763,074.723,662.204,304.095,004.545,768.006,106.07

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.28%6.28%6.28%
Growth Rate4.39%5.39%6.39%
Year 1 PV (M)2,865.492,892.942,920.39
Year 2 PV (M)3,180.743,241.973,303.79
Year 3 PV (M)3,483.863,584.943,687.96
Year 4 PV (M)3,775.173,921.914,072.90
Year 5 PV (M)4,054.994,252.974,458.61
PV of Terminal Value (M)130,728.33137,110.94143,740.44
Equity Value (M)148,088.58155,005.67162,184.08
Shares Outstanding (M)2,823.522,823.522,823.52
Fair Value$52.45$54.90$57.44
Upside / Downside79.31%87.69%96.38%

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