DDM Analysis: EXPL.PA

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth	$520.71 - $1,408.95	$801.06
Multi-Stage	$358.49 - $392.28	$375.07
Blended Fair Value	$588.07
Current Price	$199.00
Upside	195.51%
Decision	Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric	5Y CAGR	10Y CAGR	2024	2023	2022	2021	2020	2019	2018	2017	2016	2015
DPS	1.29%	15.02%	1.01	0.04	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.94	1.05	1.05	0.70	0.45
YoY Growth	-	-	2,298.86%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	-100.00%	-9.63%	-0.36%	50.72%	56.38%	79.08%
Dividend Yield	-	-	0.54%	0.04%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	1.25%	1.24%	1.15%	1.02%	0.81%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)

Net Income To Common (M)	45.92
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)	2.20
(=) Cash Retained (M)	43.72

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
Required Retention Ratio	20.0%	12.5%	7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)	9.18	5.74	3.44
Cash Retained (M)	43.72	43.72	43.72
(-) Cash Required (M)	-9.18	-5.74	-3.44
(=) Excess Retained (M)	34.54	37.98	40.28
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)	2.10	2.10	2.10
(=) Excess Retained per Share	16.47	18.12	19.21
LTM Dividend per Share	1.05	1.05	1.05
(+) Excess Retained per Share	16.47	18.12	19.21
(=) Adjusted Dividend	17.52	19.17	20.26
WACC / Discount Rate	8.82%	8.82%	8.82%
Growth Rate	5.27%	6.27%	7.27%
Fair Value	$520.71	$801.06	$1,408.95
Upside / Downside	161.66%	302.54%	608.01%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)

Metric	TTM	Dec-27	Dec-28	Dec-29	Dec-30	Dec-31	Terminal
Net Income (M)	45.92	48.80	51.86	55.11	58.57	62.24	64.11
Payout Ratio	4.79%	21.83%	38.87%	55.92%	72.96%	90.00%	92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)	2.20	10.65	20.16	30.82	42.73	56.02	59.30

Multi-Stage Valuation

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
WACC / Discount Rate	8.82%	8.82%	8.82%
Growth Rate	5.27%	6.27%	7.27%
Year 1 PV (M)	9.70	9.79	9.88
Year 2 PV (M)	16.71	17.03	17.35
Year 3 PV (M)	23.25	23.92	24.60
Year 4 PV (M)	29.35	30.48	31.64
Year 5 PV (M)	35.02	36.72	38.48
PV of Terminal Value (M)	637.52	668.38	700.43
Equity Value (M)	751.54	786.31	822.37
Shares Outstanding (M)	2.10	2.10	2.10
Fair Value	$358.49	$375.07	$392.28
Upside / Downside	80.15%	88.48%	97.12%

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EPC Groupe (EXPL.PA)

Valuation Snapshot

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

Multi-Stage Valuation

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