DDM Analysis: CSWI

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth	$198.30 - $516.06	$301.43
Multi-Stage	$134.51 - $147.06	$140.67
Blended Fair Value	$221.05
Current Price	$303.00
Upside	-27.05%
Decision	Don't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric	5Y CAGR	10Y CAGR	2025	2024	2023	2022	2021	2020	2019	2018	2017	2016
DPS	12.39%	5.80%	0.87	0.71	0.63	0.57	0.48	0.49	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.02
YoY Growth	-	-	23.52%	11.84%	11.59%	17.02%	-0.58%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	-100.00%	-96.38%
Dividend Yield	-	-	0.29%	0.27%	0.38%	0.55%	0.41%	0.70%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.06%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)

Net Income To Common (M)	143.59
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)	17.13
(=) Cash Retained (M)	126.46

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
Required Retention Ratio	20.0%	12.5%	7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)	28.72	17.95	10.77
Cash Retained (M)	126.46	126.46	126.46
(-) Cash Required (M)	-28.72	-17.95	-10.77
(=) Excess Retained (M)	97.74	108.51	115.69
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)	16.72	16.72	16.72
(=) Excess Retained per Share	5.84	6.49	6.92
LTM Dividend per Share	1.02	1.02	1.02
(+) Excess Retained per Share	5.84	6.49	6.92
(=) Adjusted Dividend	6.87	7.51	7.94
WACC / Discount Rate	9.15%	9.15%	9.15%
Growth Rate	5.50%	6.50%	7.50%
Fair Value	$198.30	$301.43	$516.06
Upside / Downside	-34.55%	-0.52%	70.32%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)

Metric	TTM	Dec-27	Dec-28	Dec-29	Dec-30	Dec-31	Terminal
Net Income (M)	143.59	152.92	162.86	173.45	184.72	196.73	202.63
Payout Ratio	11.93%	27.55%	43.16%	58.77%	74.39%	90.00%	92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)	17.13	42.12	70.29	101.94	137.41	177.06	187.44

Multi-Stage Valuation

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
WACC / Discount Rate	9.15%	9.15%	9.15%
Growth Rate	5.50%	6.50%	7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)	38.23	38.59	38.95
Year 2 PV (M)	57.89	58.99	60.11
Year 3 PV (M)	76.20	78.38	80.61
Year 4 PV (M)	93.21	96.79	100.48
Year 5 PV (M)	109.00	114.26	119.73
PV of Terminal Value (M)	1,874.84	1,965.40	2,059.42
Equity Value (M)	2,249.37	2,352.43	2,459.31
Shares Outstanding (M)	16.72	16.72	16.72
Fair Value	$134.51	$140.67	$147.06
Upside / Downside	-55.61%	-53.57%	-51.46%

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CSW Industrials, Inc. (CSWI)

Valuation Snapshot

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

Multi-Stage Valuation

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