DDM Analysis: COLBUN.SN

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth	$0.10 - $0.15	$0.13
Multi-Stage	$0.16 - $0.17	$0.16
Blended Fair Value	$0.14
Current Price	$0.16
Upside	-10.10%
Decision	Don't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric	5Y CAGR	10Y CAGR	2024	2023	2022	2021	2020	2019	2018	2017	2016	2015
DPS	-17.20%	22.26%	0.01	0.02	0.01	0.07	0.01	0.02	0.02	0.01	0.01	0.00
YoY Growth	-	-	-55.82%	100.79%	-87.80%	415.81%	-30.31%	19.13%	80.53%	62.76%	84.98%	196.15%
Dividend Yield	-	-	5.49%	13.71%	6.59%	86.81%	7.09%	18.24%	7.24%	3.84%	2.55%	1.10%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)

Net Income To Common (M)	255.19
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)	132.36
(=) Cash Retained (M)	122.83

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
Required Retention Ratio	20.0%	12.5%	7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)	51.04	31.90	19.14
Cash Retained (M)	122.83	122.83	122.83
(-) Cash Required (M)	-51.04	-31.90	-19.14
(=) Excess Retained (M)	71.79	90.93	103.69
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)	17,536.61	17,536.61	17,536.61
(=) Excess Retained per Share	0.00	0.01	0.01
LTM Dividend per Share	0.01	0.01	0.01
(+) Excess Retained per Share	0.00	0.01	0.01
(=) Adjusted Dividend	0.01	0.01	0.01
WACC / Discount Rate	9.99%	9.99%	9.99%
Growth Rate	-1.13%	-0.13%	0.87%
Fair Value	$0.10	$0.13	$0.15
Upside / Downside	-35.46%	-21.65%	-7.19%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)

Metric	TTM	Dec-27	Dec-28	Dec-29	Dec-30	Dec-31	Terminal
Net Income (M)	255.19	254.84	254.50	254.16	253.81	253.47	261.08
Payout Ratio	51.87%	59.49%	67.12%	74.75%	82.37%	90.00%	92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)	132.36	151.61	170.82	189.97	209.08	228.12	241.50

Multi-Stage Valuation

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
WACC / Discount Rate	9.99%	9.99%	9.99%
Growth Rate	-1.13%	-0.13%	0.87%
Year 1 PV (M)	136.46	137.84	139.22
Year 2 PV (M)	138.37	141.19	144.03
Year 3 PV (M)	138.51	142.75	147.08
Year 4 PV (M)	137.19	142.83	148.64
Year 5 PV (M)	134.73	141.68	148.92
PV of Terminal Value (M)	2,039.15	2,144.38	2,253.92
Equity Value (M)	2,724.41	2,850.67	2,981.81
Shares Outstanding (M)	17,536.61	17,536.61	17,536.61
Fair Value	$0.16	$0.16	$0.17
Upside / Downside	-3.04%	1.45%	6.12%

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Colbún S.A. (COLBUN.SN)

Valuation Snapshot

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

Multi-Stage Valuation

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