DDM Analysis: CGCBV.HE

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth	$1,305.33 - $3,197.55	$2,996.57
Multi-Stage	$458.14 - $501.86	$479.60
Blended Fair Value	$1,738.08
Current Price	$42.00
Upside	4,038.30%
Decision	Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric	5Y CAGR	10Y CAGR	2024	2023	2022	2021	2020	2019	2018	2017	2016	2015
DPS	14.31%	17.82%	2.14	1.35	1.08	1.07	1.20	1.10	1.05	0.96	0.82	0.56
YoY Growth	-	-	59.31%	25.18%	0.14%	-10.80%	9.58%	4.41%	9.32%	17.80%	46.26%	34.20%
Dividend Yield	-	-	5.11%	2.12%	2.40%	3.11%	2.61%	6.49%	3.05%	2.22%	1.76%	1.97%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)

Net Income To Common (M)	1,039.20
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)	138.20
(=) Cash Retained (M)	901.00

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
Required Retention Ratio	20.0%	12.5%	7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)	207.84	129.90	77.94
Cash Retained (M)	901.00	901.00	901.00
(-) Cash Required (M)	-207.84	-129.90	-77.94
(=) Excess Retained (M)	693.16	771.10	823.06
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)	64.63	64.63	64.63
(=) Excess Retained per Share	10.72	11.93	12.73
LTM Dividend per Share	2.14	2.14	2.14
(+) Excess Retained per Share	10.72	11.93	12.73
(=) Adjusted Dividend	12.86	14.07	14.87
WACC / Discount Rate	6.54%	6.54%	6.54%
Growth Rate	5.50%	6.50%	7.50%
Fair Value	$1,305.33	$2,996.57	$3,197.55
Upside / Downside	3,007.93%	7,034.69%	7,513.21%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)

Metric	TTM	Dec-27	Dec-28	Dec-29	Dec-30	Dec-31	Terminal
Net Income (M)	1,039.20	1,106.75	1,178.69	1,255.30	1,336.90	1,423.79	1,466.51
Payout Ratio	13.30%	28.64%	43.98%	59.32%	74.66%	90.00%	92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)	138.20	316.96	518.38	744.64	998.12	1,281.41	1,356.52

Multi-Stage Valuation

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
WACC / Discount Rate	6.54%	6.54%	6.54%
Growth Rate	5.50%	6.50%	7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)	294.71	297.51	300.30
Year 2 PV (M)	448.16	456.69	465.31
Year 3 PV (M)	598.58	615.76	633.27
Year 4 PV (M)	746.02	774.71	804.22
Year 5 PV (M)	890.53	933.54	978.20
PV of Terminal Value (M)	26,633.82	27,920.25	29,255.91
Equity Value (M)	29,611.82	30,998.46	32,437.21
Shares Outstanding (M)	64.63	64.63	64.63
Fair Value	$458.14	$479.60	$501.86
Upside / Downside	990.82%	1,041.90%	1,094.90%

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Cargotec Corporation (CGCBV.HE)

Valuation Snapshot

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

Multi-Stage Valuation

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